BobKowalski
Well-Known Member
- Joined
- 17 May 2007
- Messages
- 20,316
The only thing that surprises me is that it's taken so long to throw the 2030 car ban out of the window.
It is patently obvious that we have nothing like the charging infrastructure in place to support a dramatic shift to electric cars, and no chance whatsoever of getting it by 2030. Just imagine the necessary upheaval to get tens of thousands of public charging points into curbside locations in our cities - the new electricity substations needed, the thousands of miles of high capacity cables that need laying under dug up roads and pavements. With 6 years to go, this is completely impossible.
So if we stick to the 2030 plan, most people will NOT buy electric cars because they are too expensive, they never save you any money and the infrasture is not there to support them. And since they could not buy petrol cars instead, new car sales in 2030 would absolutely collapse.
Sunak could never paint it in these terms because doing so would be political suicide: Labour would have a field day criticizing the government's incompetence at not getting the infrastructure in place after 13 years in power.
So he is stuffed. But that doesn't change the reality that sticking to an unachievable target which if implemented would do terrible damage, would have been madness..It had to go.
Notable that the media has not picked up on the narrative from players such as JLR saying Sunak's change is a good idea and makes sense.
It isn’t completely impossible. Ideally, you aim hard for a chosen date and build in slippage for the inevitable delays. You may not make the date but you can get damn close if the political will is there.
Companies will respond positively and commit resources if they think the Govt is serious. They will not commit resources if the think the Govt is too weak or uncommitted - in effect it becomes a self—fulfilling prophecy. There is no drive to install the infrastructure if the date to install it is not taken seriously.
There are new technologies, new revenue streams and new opportunities in net zero. We are already behind Europe, US and China in EV plants, gigafactories etc., and the concern is the UK slipping further behind. You only have to look at the state of our railways and lack of high-speed links compared to Europe to see how our failure to invest harms us.