When I look at the remaining candidates, I reckon Tugendhat would likely have more appeal to the general public, yet because of the make up of the parliamentary party, he’s likely to be the one who falls next. After that, I think Cleverly will tumble, so we will, as you say, see the members choose from Jenrick or Badenoch, neither of whom has what it takes to bring the party back to the centre. The disarray. amongst the Conservatives might just embolden the Labour in regards its policies, though perhaps they know they’re already in for a decade, at least, and can afford to move incrementally.