roaminblue
Well-Known Member
- Joined
- 27 Apr 2008
- Messages
- 2,991
Moriati said:Europe's Triple-Dip Recession Arrives: German Industrial Production Crashes Most Since February 2009.
And then a few hours ago we finally got undeniable confirmation that Europe is once again in recession, its third since Lehman, only this one is worse: it is led by the "core" countries, with Germany in the forefront, a Germany which just reported industrial output which suffered its biggest monthly decline in more than five years in August. Specifically, German IP tumbled 4%, led by capital goods which crashed 8.8%; consumer goods sliding 0.4%, and basic goods dropping 1.9%, with the headline plunge far below the consensus of -1.5%, and below even the worst forecast of -3.0%, the biggest drop since February 2009, a result which according to the FT rose "fears that Europe’s biggest economy might be heading for recession and prompting renewed concern about the economic health of the eurozone."
Oh, don't be afraid: the world's largest economic block is now without doubt in a triple-dip recession, which will in turn drag both the US and China down with it.
Zerohedge, huh? Its mostly opinion, for what its worth.
Still not in a technical recession and strong employment data may offset the contraction somewhat. Worth noting the absence of Russia here, though that probably won't be resolved any time soon, it may explain underlying performance a little.
Anyway, I'm firmly in the Soros camp with europe. The private sector can help them, but they have to be willing to engage.
Eitherway, the discussion on whether to cut tax, or stimulate will now emerge again, and probably about time.