We are at -£100m, but £80m of that can be discounted on wages, a further £15m on youth and infrastructure.
So in MP1, we are actually at £-5m so far
In the second part of MP1 (including this season), our wage bill should drop by around 20-30m on players not being utilised any more and those sold in summer '12. (so last years £80m drops to say £50m (pre 2010 contracts still with us) and by a further £15m on infrastructure to £15m for FFP purposes).
Allied to that is the decrease in amortisation costs and increases (for this season based on clauses in our commercial partnerships now we are Champions) will drop that £15m figure down below £10m for next season (-£15m in total for MP1) at the very most for FFP purposes.
MP2 will be a piece of cake with a 50% rise in TV rights (£40m+), expected new commercial partnerships (such as Nike bringing a further £10m per year to the table). I fully expect us to see a profit next season of £20-30m ) or as near as damn it) which would mean a profit of £5m-£15m for FFP monitoring purposes for MP2.
All that is without growing our commercial and match day revenues at the same pace as the previous two years. The above also assumes a modest increase in some of our costs over the next two years.
Book mark this for two years time.
edit: Just reading your post again damocles, it looks to me as though you are counting the first two monitoring periods very strangely like this:
MP1 - last season and this (with pre 2010 allowance)
MP2 - last season (no allowance), this season (no allowance) and next season
When it is:
MP1 - last season and this (with pre 2010 allowance)
MP2 - last season (with allowance), this season (with allowance) and next season (no allowance)
For avoidance of doubt over the monitoring periods:
[bigimg]http://www.financialfairplay.co.uk/resources/ffp%20grid.jpg[/bigimg]
I shall await PB killing this post no doubt.