Brewster's millions
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- Joined
- 9 Apr 2012
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Millionaire spend a lot of money threatening to leave whenever they think they might get taxed more, and then...they don't go anywhere.
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Millionaire exodus did not occur, study reveals - Tax Justice Network
The number of millionaires widely reported in the news to be leaving countries in "exodus" represented near-0% of all millionaires.taxjustice.net
The fact that the Telegraph and co. are all relying on the same study (already completely disproven above) to scare people into thinking millionaires will leave over a wealth tax says everything to be honest, there's just no evidence at all that these people will leave.
There's actually more evidence in terms of research and studies based on previous wealth taxes that a wealth tax incentivises very wealthy people to spend their money rather than sit on it, which is exactly what the general public should want (that's certainly not proven, the point is one potential outcome has been magnified as much as possible based on 1 incredibly flawed study by a biased company, while a positive outcome has barely been mentioned at all by the traditional broadsheets)
Rather than referring to a poorly written report, and an arguably even worse rebuttal, perhaps the more intelligent thing to do is look at how the receipts of the type of taxes the very rich pay are performing?
That is, look at the actual, dependent variable rather than trying to second guess how many very rich people are leaving the country - the data around which is very poor - and how this might impact the public finances.
Things like Capital Gains Tax - only paid by around 300,000 people and likely to be dominated by the transactions of a smaller subset of very rich people.
Unfortunately the way it’s paid and the lags involved means that we’re not going to get a clear picture until early next year. But if the January 2026 CGT data are anything similar to the January 2025 figures - which showed a very unusual decline - then it would be difficult to deny that something strange is happening.