The Title Race - 2021/22

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I hope all of you that were acting like all our rivals would have 90+ points have calm down now. This is just gameweek 6, other teams would drop points and we would drop more points.
 
Tokyo32 said:
I hope all of you that were acting like all our rivals would have 90+ points have calm down now. This is just gameweek 6, other teams would drop points and we would drop more points.
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Hugely encouraging weekend. There's going to be ups and downs. I think we are going to compete for the title. I was worried about tge fitness of Foden and KDB but they have come on a lot.
 
David El Mago Silva said:
I'd be happy with 12 points.

Norwich (H) Win
Arsenal (H) Win
Leicester (A) Draw
Southampton (H) Win
Chelsea (A) Draw
Liverpool (A) Draw
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Well the players have already surpassed my expectations as I predicted 12 points and we've already got 13 so anything we get at Anfield is a bonus. I do think we need to get at least a point though, can't afford to let Liverpool build any sort of lead.
 
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At the start of the season the prediction was 78 points it’s now 83 with us finishing 5 points clear of Liverpool.

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For the first time in over a year we are second in the overall rankings rather than top. Bayern have nipped in front by 0.07

Ajax have quite a team this season and demolished Dortmund 4-0.
 
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Ominously, Chelsea haven't dropped a point against any team not named City or Liverpool so far. However, if you're someone who uses xG you'd be interested to know that Chelsea are massively overachieving at both ends of the pitch, so they may drop off soon.

Liverpool are overachieving xG by a small amount, but fixture wise they've had a pretty easy start to the season. So we'll get a better idea of them at the mid season point.

I suspect Liverpool will be a bigger problem than Chelsea, and I can see them hitting 90 points. However I don't think they'll go much beyond that.
 
dickie davies said:
88 will be the magic number
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I can't see it being that high. Runners up have only made it to 87 points twice in the PL era, and that includes the early years when teams played 42 games. Needs to be a two horse race with third a long way behind for runners up to get that many points and I don't see that happening this season.
 
Voted for 90-94. It's between US, Chelsea and Liverpool. We'll take points off eachother but will likely lose very few points to other sides.

This is going to be one of the closest title race since I've started watching the P/L IMO - 2010.
 
Alfie Budd said:
I can't see it being that high. Runners up have only made it to 87 points twice in the PL era, and that includes the early years when teams played 42 games. Needs to be a two horse race with third a long way behind for runners up to get that many points and I don't see that happening this season.
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I looked at what we have after a relatively tough start
P9 - 20 points
One loss, two draws, six wins

Multiply it up, L4 D8, W24 gives 80 points from 36, so with a wins in games 37 & 38 and maybe one of the draws a win, that gives 88, not unrealistic

Chelsea and Liverpool will also be very close to that total and it may come down to the mini league of us, Chelsea and Liverpool
 
dickie davies said:
I looked at what we have after a relatively tough start
P9 - 20 points
One loss, two draws, six wins

Multiply it up, L4 D8, W24 gives 80 points from 36, so with a wins in games 37 & 38 and maybe one of the draws a win, that gives 88, not unrealistic

Chelsea and Liverpool will also be very close to that total and it may come down to the mini league of us, Chelsea and Liverpool
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That’s certainly a possibility. As of now you could definitely see a three horse race with a huge gap to fourth. But I still reckon that mid 80s will be enough to guarantee the title.
 
Cobwebcat said:
I’ll update 538’s predictions after every match. At the moment 99.3% of City fans don’t agree yet 538’s starting prediction was only 1 point off last season.

So if clubs continue to perform as they are doing and taking into consideration current points and the fixtures they have remaining:

City 83

Liverpool 77

Chelsea 76

United 70

so currently 78 to win it

@chesterguy @St.Pauli support would be the only winners
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Utd would do well to finish within 7 points of Liverpool & 6 of Chelsea, the way the season appears to be going ?
 
90pts. The Southampton draw was a real shame but our return is very good considering who we have played.

ACON could destroy Liverpool, Salah is carrying them. Chelsea will struggle against teams that defend in a compact manner and force them to break them down. I still think Tuchel's cautious approach in certain games will mean they draw too many.

The league is ours as long as we take our chances. Can see all three teams getting 85-90pts potentially, and it coming down to goal difference.

Injuries/covid could still play their part too. Having been to Chelsea, Liverpool, Spurs, Leicester and Brighton who are in good form we are doing pretty well. A nice 15 game winning run now to establish ourselves would be typical of this City side under Pep.
 
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