The Title Race - 2021/22

  • Thread starter Deleted member 81382
  • Start date
Status
Not open for further replies.
I worked this out prior to last night's game, but in the PL this season City and Liverpool have missed the exact same number of big chances, had identical goal/shots ratios of 13%, and had identical xg/goals ratio.

So, any suggestion that Liverpool are somehow more clinical, or City are not ruthless enough, just doesn't hold up.

They've scored a few more goals because they've had more shots overall, but then they've also just had a run where they played teams in the bottom half of the table for weeks on end. Looking at the fixtures left, it would be a surprise if we didn't outscore them between now and the end of the season.
hope so
 
Milner not being sent off, obviously helped them without a doubt.
He was comfortably the worst player on the pitch, he had a very poor game, and they might not have missed him had he gone.
 
It occurred to me last night that 15 of the 17 points we’ve dropped this season have been against just 3 teams - Spurs, Palace, and Saints. We’ve failed to win a single one of our 6 games against those teams and of course we’ve played all three of those in our last 7 games. Spurs and Palace in particular have been teams that have caused us problems throughout Pep’s time here. The only other game where we dropped points was the 2-2 draw away to Liverpool.

I’m not saying that now those three teams are out of the way, we’re not dropping any more points this season bar maybe Liverpool, but I thought it was an interesting stat that may (or may not) have some significance during the run-in.

Very interesting observation, 5 star post.
 
I worked this out prior to last night's game, but in the PL this season City and Liverpool have missed the exact same number of big chances, had identical goal/shots ratios of 13%, and had identical xg/goals ratio.

So, any suggestion that Liverpool are somehow more clinical, or City are not ruthless enough, just doesn't hold up.

They've scored a few more goals because they've had more shots overall, but then they've also just had a run where they played teams in the bottom half of the table for weeks on end. Looking at the fixtures left, it would be a surprise if we didn't outscore them between now and the end of the season.

How are you defining “big chances”?
 
He was comfortably the worst player on the pitch, he had a very poor game, and they might not have missed him had he gone.
I agree he had a poor game, but if Tierney had done his job properly we would have had 16 mins to play against 10 men. Who knows if we would have won, but I think we would have had a decent chance of securing the 3 points.
 
How are you defining “big chances”?
It’s an official stat logged by Opta these days defined as ‘a situation where a player should reasonably be expected to score’.
Some will be obvious but others will always be somewhat subjective.
 
How are you defining “big chances”?
I'm not. It's one of the stats on the Premier League site. Apparently...

"A big chance is where the player would reasonably be expected to score and manages to get a shot away. These usually in occur in one-on-one scenarios or from very close range."

Salah, Jota and Mane have all missed more big chances than anyone in the City team this season.
 
It’s an official stat logged by Opta these days defined as ‘a situation where a player should reasonably be expected to score’.
Some will be obvious but others will always be somewhat subjective.
You don’t win or lose a game with “predictive” stats. How shit we even have to this is in our heads.
It’s a 90 min game where you commence battle. The best or most lucky team comes out the other side.
 
Status
Not open for further replies.

Don't have an account? Register now and see fewer ads!

SIGN UP
Back
Top
  AdBlock Detected
Bluemoon relies on advertising to pay our hosting fees. Please support the site by disabling your ad blocking software to help keep the forum sustainable. Thanks.