I think you're probably right. However, easier said than done.
Our H2H record against Liverpool over the last 10 games in all comps is W4, D3, L3.
Sure we have the home advantage, but on the other hand I don't think we're playing as well right now as we have been over the past couple of seasons.
So the game at our place could go absolutely anywhere IMO. We could coast it 4-0 or get stuffed 0-4 the other way around. Or it could be a 0-0 draw.
In my mind, we at our best are better than them at their best, and therefore if both teams turn up, chances are we win. Question is, will we turn up. And luck plays a big part in it as well of course. Dodgy sending off or penalties not given etc.
Bottom line is I have no clue whether we'll beat them at our place or not. No clue.