The Title Race - 2021/22

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Totally different scenario if city lose just one game and Liverpool win the equivalent game. Lead cut to five points, lfc supporting media willing them on, referees decisions favouring them, PL bosses wanting lfc to win the title. Pep knows how easy it is for the tide to turn and that's what will hopefully carry us over the line. We're also like a machine, our opposition know that so every win puts a nail in their coffin and for them every game is even more important. I just don't want us to lose this title to lfc, it will be considered the most famous title win ever ever.
 
I can't see Liverpool challenging. Maybe they'll find more character with Salah, Mane and Keita away and on their return will really push for the title...but their results so far have shown a soft centre and they've only had two good seasons in recent memory so do they really have the ability to string together a run of 10 plus wins in a row? I doubt it.

I reckon they'll end up on about 86pts.
 
Think we'll need 10 wins and a couple of draws from the last 16 games. That'll put us on 87 points.

Means Liverpool will need to win 14 of their last 17 games.
 
Think we'll need 10 wins and a couple of draws from the last 16 games. That'll put us on 87 points.

Means Liverpool will need to win 14 of their last 17 games.
Assuming you have the maths right, and I've no reason to doubt/check.
When put that starkly it is pretty amazing that we're in this position. Our run has been phenomenal - yet again
 
I don’t normally embrace the “they’ve done it before they know how to win titles” argument - if that were true there wouldn’t be so few back to back champions. But when a side has formed a dynasty by winning the title 3 seasons out of 4 then I think collective and individual knowledge and recognition of how to negotiate difficult moments does become a factor especially given that we have experience of leading and trailing in a title run in
 
Points after 22 games under Guardiola:

2017/18 - 62 points (100)
2021/22 - 56 points (?)
2018/19 - 53 points (98)
2020/21 - 50 points (86)
2019/20 - 47 points (81)
2016/17 - 43 points (78)

We have three more points than we did at this stage in 2018/19 when we finished on 98 points and are on course for 97 points if we maintain our current rate of points per game.
 
Points after 22 games under Guardiola:

2017/18 - 62 points (100)
2021/22 - 56 points (?)
2018/19 - 53 points (98)
2020/21 - 50 points (86)
2019/20 - 47 points (81)
2016/17 - 43 points (78)

We have three more points than we did at this stage in 2018/19 when we finished on 98 points and are on course for 97 points if we maintain our current rate of points per game.

We won 14 on the bounce to get to that. So I’m going for around 92
 
We won 14 on the bounce to get to that. So I’m going for around 92
Yeah, I was gonna mention the caveat is we went on that incredible 14 match winning run til the end of the season to achieve that which would be pretty hard to repeat considering the run we're already on.
 
maximum points:

City 104
dippers 96
Spuds 93
Chavs 89
Le Arse 89
Irons 88
Rags 86
Dippers, Spuds and Rags all to visit the Etihad - make certain we do not lose those games.

Just the Irons to play away where we have a superb record and we have already got maximum points off the Chavs and Le Arse.

Those three home matches are the key.
 
Dippers, Spuds and Rags all to visit the Etihad - make certain we do not lose those games.

Just the Irons to play away where we have a superb record and we have already got maximum points off the Chavs and Le Arse.

Those three home matches are the key.
West Ham is the last but one game of the season (final away game). I sincerely hope we’ll have things put to bed by then and it won’t be significant for us, especially if they’re desperate for points for a possible top four finish.
We’ll ideally have nothing to play for and one eye on the CL final when we go there.

Edit. I think FA Cup final is that weekend so it may not end up being played on the scheduled date.
 
The Liverpool home league fixture is straddled by the 2 CL quarter finals.

Draw Liverpool in the CL and we could end up playing them 3 times in a week.

THe FA Cup SF at Wembley is the weekend after the 2nd leg CL QF... we could get them in that as well for 4 successive games :)
 
The Liverpool home league fixture is straddled by the 2 CL quarter finals.

Draw Liverpool in the CL and we could end up playing them 3 times in a week.

THe FA Cup SF at Wembley is the weekend after the 2nd leg CL QF... we could get them in that as well for 4 successive games :)
Playing and beating the Dippers in the CL QF is very appealing, but let's get past Sporting first.
 
Liverpool's fixture schedule after the break involves games vs Leicester, Inter (twice), Chelsea, Arsenal, WHame, Brighton (away), Man U, and possibly a difficult game or two in the FA Cup in March, and they should play all these games over 6 weeks, plus several less difficult games vs Burnley, Norwich and Leeds (still potentially tiring though).

Our chances in the league and the FA Cup have become slightly better with their win tonight. Their fixture schedule in late February and March is brutal. Even if they hit form and win most games, the fixture congestion will take its toll on their form in April and May, imo. Let's see what happens.
 
Liverpool's fixture schedule after the break involves games vs Leicester, Inter (twice), Chelsea, Arsenal, WHame, Brighton (away), Man U, and possibly a difficult game or two in the FA Cup in March, and they should play all these games over 6 weeks, plus several less difficult games vs Burnley, Norwich and Leeds (still potentially tiring though).

Our chances in the league and the FA Cup have become slightly better with their win tonight. Their fixture schedule in late February and March is brutal. Even if they hit form and win most games, the fixture congestion will take its toll on their form in April and May, imo. Let's see what happens.
Good post but let’s not worry about the Scousers. Let the dippers worry about this City juggernaut that has swatted 12 teams in a row with no forward, no LB and on course for another successful season over the best team in the whole wide world la.

Bring it on dippers.
 
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