The Title Race - 2023/24

[Gio Sugar]

I also think it's nonsense, and I love statistics :)

Ok let's just say , that in my opinion the bigger threat is Liverpool then Arsenal and then United.

Also I believe that Chelsea and Newcastle are not so good.

Don't call it statistics.

 

[malg]

Yaya Toure is marginal.
Thanks for putting that near the front of your post, saved me reading any further.

Yep. Stopped reading at the same point.

 

[Academica]

You have to win all the games at home (19 * 3 = 57).

You have to win away against the teams from position 12 to 20 ( 9 * 3 = 27)

You have to take a point against the teams from position 1 to 11 ( 10 points).

57+27+10 = 94 points

Theoretically any team can reach 94 points. This way you understand if one team performs better than another.

City have a home game and 2 away against bottom team. Expected 9 , get 9. Performs normal.

Newcastle , two home games , one away against top 11. Expected 7 get 3. Underperform.

Liverpool, two away against top 11 and 1 home. Expected 5 get 7. Overperfom.

I like it, takes into accout the quality of the teams you have played. Do you keep track all season?

 

[Gio Sugar]

ps. I do see what the aim is. The 538 site predictions (which they no longer do) were great because they took into account who you still had to play, and with maybe a third of last season to go, it was clear that Arsenal had a much tougher run in. Obviously compared to their big computer and complex models, this is just a bit of fun, so 'nonsense' in the fun sense!

Yep that 's it. The 538 it's way more comlex, I was a fan too.

I have this model since 2014 , it's working as we all expected to work.

 

[malg]

3 games gone and some people think it's done....... Let's see how it all looks in early January.

 

[blueone]

Two of the greatest players to play in the Premier League.

Sergio did score a lot more goals though - one every 107 minutes for City, whereas Henry was only one every 133 minutes at Arsenal. Even adding assists, puts Sergio on an assist or goal every 84 minutes, to Henry's 93 minutes.

Henry was a great all round player, and a wonderful goal scorer. Aguero might not quite have matched some parts of Henry's game, he was almost certainly the best striker that has ever played in England.

Fucking A.

 

[Gio Sugar]

I like it, takes into accout the quality of the teams you have played. Do you keep track all season?

Yes , that's the fun of it.
I choose 11 teams every year and I do the calculations.

 

[Ducado]

3 games gone and some people think it's done....... Let's see how it all looks in early January.

It’s far too early to make any realistic predictions, however some of the rivals don’t seem to have improved much on last season but teams have to get into their stride, we’ve just got to keep doing our thing and keep winning

 

[Millwallawayveteran1988]

It’s far too early to make any realistic predictions, however some of the rivals don’t seem to have improved much on last season but teams have to get into their stride, we’ve just got to keep doing our thing and keep winning

With Fulham, West Ham, Forest and Wolves next up, we have to fill our boots before it gets harder. The West Ham game will be tricky but I’d fancy us to win fairly easily in the others. If we can be 19/21 then that would be a great start and set us up nicely. 21/21 even better!

 

[MCFC1993]

I think Opta have a table predictor, can't confirm whether it's better than 538, probably not, we were 90.2% to win the league before the season, we're now at 93.3%.

Football Predictions | Opta Analyst

Opta football predictions for the Premier League, UEFA Champions League, La Liga, Serie A, Ligue 1, Bundesliga and UEFA Europa League.

theanalyst.com