The Title Race - 2023/24

How many points will be needed to win the league?


  • Total voters
    446
  • Poll closed .
Go on. You have lost me
we should have 9 points and have 9? Newcastle should have had 7, but have 3?
we were expected to get 3 against Newcastle, but they were expected to get 1 in the same game?


You have to win all the games at home (19 * 3 = 57).

You have to win away against the teams from position 12 to 20 ( 9 * 3 = 27)

You have to take a point against the teams from position 1 to 11 ( 10 points).

57+27+10 = 94 points

Theoretically any team can reach 94 points. This way you understand if one team performs better than another.

City have a home game and 2 away against bottom team. Expected 9 , get 9. Performs normal.

Newcastle , two home games , one away against top 11. Expected 7 get 3. Underperform.

Liverpool, two away against top 11 and 1 home. Expected 5 get 7. Overperfom.
 
I don't think any rational City fan would argue with that. Outside the penalty area, Henry contributed more to Arsenal than Sergio did for us. Aguero came alive in the box.
Two of the greatest players to play in the Premier League.

Sergio did score a lot more goals though - one every 107 minutes for City, whereas Henry was only one every 133 minutes at Arsenal. Even adding assists, puts Sergio on an assist or goal every 84 minutes, to Henry's 93 minutes.

Henry was a great all round player, and a wonderful goal scorer. Aguero might not quite have matched some parts of Henry's game, he was almost certainly the best striker that has ever played in England.
 
You have to win all the games at home (19 * 3 = 57).

You have to win away against the teams from position 12 to 20 ( 9 * 3 = 27)

You have to take a point against the teams from position 1 to 11 ( 10 points).

57+27+10 = 94 points

Theoretically any team can reach 94 points. This way you understand if one team performs better than another.

City have a home game and 2 away against bottom team. Expected 9 , get 9. Performs normal.

Newcastle , two home games , one away against top 11. Expected 7 get 3. Underperform.

Liverpool, two away against top 11 and 1 home. Expected 5 get 7. Overperfom.
What a load of statistical crap......try getting a life.
 
You have to win all the games at home (19 * 3 = 57).

You have to win away against the teams from position 12 to 20 ( 9 * 3 = 27)

You have to take a point against the teams from position 1 to 11 ( 10 points).

57+27+10 = 94 points

Theoretically any team can reach 94 points. This way you understand if one team performs better than another.

City have a home game and 2 away against bottom team. Expected 9 , get 9. Performs normal.

Newcastle , two home games , one away against top 11. Expected 7 get 3. Underperform.

Liverpool, two away against top 11 and 1 home. Expected 5 get 7. Overperfom.
But Chelsea were 12th last season ;)
 
As I said a few days ago...

Arsenal and Liverpool are the ONLY teams we have to worry about.

Newcastle ain't ready for the big time yet.

1-0 up and have an extra man on the field and still get turned over by the scousers...

Small time mentality. They are absolutely nowhere near ready for any title challenge. They will struggle getting in the top 4 tbh.
 
Yep , you could choose your best 11 teams.
The model works the same way.

For me Chelsea is a top 11 team.
I also think it's nonsense, and I love statistics :)

ps. I do see what the aim is. The 538 site predictions (which they no longer do) were great because they took into account who you still had to play, and with maybe a third of last season to go, it was clear that Arsenal had a much tougher run in. Obviously compared to their big computer and complex models, this is just a bit of fun, so 'nonsense' in the fun sense!
 
Last edited:
As I said a few days ago...

Arsenal and Liverpool are the ONLY teams we have to worry about.

Newcastle ain't ready for the big time yet.

1-0 up and have an extra man on the field and still get turned over by the scousers...

Small time mentality. They are absolutely nowhere near ready for any title challenge. They will struggle getting in the top 4 tbh.

I can’t take Newcastle seriously till they stop having Almiron as a starter
 

Don't have an account? Register now and see fewer ads!

SIGN UP
Back
Top
  AdBlock Detected
Bluemoon relies on advertising to pay our hosting fees. Please support the site by disabling your ad blocking software to help keep the forum sustainable. Thanks.