fixture to fixture compared to last season: minus 10 points currently.
this is mainly due to turning wins into losses (Wolves away, Arsenal away) and turning wins into draws (Spurs home, Chelsea away, Pol home, Palace home) and turning a draw into a loss (Villa away).
7 games where did worse.
only 2 games where we did better: rags away was a loss now a win and Newcastle away was a thriller draw now a thriller win.
the 7 games where we did worse I put it down to awful defending and overall the transfer market imo was a bit shit. letting Gundo go, not be able to land Bellingham or Rice, pay big for Nunes who cannot really be relied on much, while Kovacic is all right but simply not fit the lace Gundo's boots really.
trying to make Gvardiol play Roberto Carlos, Doku decent so far but lot to learn still off the ball and quite raw too. and of course KDb missing long long period.
if we can get these minus 10 points to minus 3-4 I think we are OK as 85-86p may be needed to win the league this season.
to bring it down to minus 3/4 points we would need to win quite a lot of games we did last season and do some better results vs Pool, Spurs, Brighton (all away) Brentford (home and away, fuck Toney is back, only team he plays 2 times this season against is us).
even more so if drop points again vs someone who we beat last season.
very unlikely we can repeat 89 points again. for that we would need 46 points of possible 54. would certainly give us the title imo.
worry is if we only do 80-84 points, I think its possible Liverpool doing 85 if they dont run into some injury problems on Salah, van Dijk, Allison etc. and refs keep helping them.
For Pool to get 85 points they need 37 from possible 51. still allows them like 7 draws alongside 10 wins.
this is gonna be close.
Burnley home, Brentford away, Everton home next 3 games for us, well we actually lost the Brentford one last year and had that shit draw vs Lampard last season at home where he was fired soon after as they were really bad.
get 9 points here and all of a sudden we are just 6 points worse off instead of 10 compared to last season.
while Liverpool's next three: Chelsea home, Arsenal away, Burnley home
no fucking way they should get more or same from these 9 than us from our three. that would be horrible.