Liverpool are currently on course to 84 pts. They are likely to win the games before City (might draw one from their away games, though) and will look like being on course to 88-89 pts. But, imo, they'll drop points in half of the remaining games and will finish below 86 pts. Let's hope I'm not underestimating them. IF they win the game at Anfield then 87-88 pts might be a genuine possibility for them.
Arsenal are a better football team than Liverpool (should have seen it from the games between them if you doubt it, the game at Anfield was fairly even), but they don't finish seasons strongly. Should overcome that tradition of being underwhelming in the last 8 games to properly compete for the title. Imo, they'll win about 84-85 pts.
If that's right, we can win the title even if we lose at Anfield and draw 3 of the other games. That will take us to 88 pts. Still think that fewer points are likely to be enough.