cmcm0808
Well-Known Member
Since the Covid seasons the winning points total has been between 89 and 93. Liverpool look like they're heading for the top end of that, if not exceeding it (their current points-per-game would see them end up with 99 points.)
But let's say for the sake of argument that Liverpool actually end up with 89 points. That would mean them getting another 55 points from their next 25 games, meaning something like win 17, draw 4, lose 4. That would be a massive drop in form for them at the moment, but let's imagine it actually happened.
In that case, City would need 90 points, meaning another 67 from what we currently have. That's 22 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses - which is a better run in than our last 25 premier league games in 2018-19 (22 wins, 3 losses).
In other words, for City to win the league at this point would require both a huge drop in Liverpool's form and a truly massive improvement in ours. I don't see either happening, but both at the same time is even less likely. It's done.
Great post, I agree Liverpool dropping enough points is unlikely and I can't see this current City squad being capable of taking advantage even if they did. This season I'd be happy with top 4 and begin transitioning some of the older players out of the team.