Tough start to the season compared to our rivals | December comparison (Pg10)

I think it’s an interesting question and definitely some fluctuations due to fixtures, but quantifying it seems difficult. I’ve come across this page which tries to re weight points off fixtures, and seems to rate us as third at the minute, accounting for fixtures

https://alt-3.uk/leagues/england-premier-league/
Not sure I fully accept their methods. Seems to suggest West Ham at home is a tougher game than Liverpool and Chelsea away?
 
It looks from the results like:

- (a) when the chips are down and we're playing a potential 6-pointer at the top of the table ... we tend to win

- (b) when we're playing a poor/ struggling team at the bottom ... we win

- (c) when we're playing an average mid-table side, who have their moments but aren't great (Southampton, Palace, Spurs) ... we have the propensity to take it too easy & cock it up.

So (c) is where we might lose it / need to do better ?
 
City have had 1 freak result and that was against Soton
Palace are a bit of a bogey team and Vieira is getting a tune out of them.
It was always likely that spuds would beat us.
Dippers were helped in their game against us. Milner should not have been able to make that pass to Salad (from which he scored) as he should have seen red previously.
The title is still ours to lose - don't worry about that!
 
City have had 1 freak result and that was against Soton
Palace are a bit of a bogey team and Vieira is getting a tune out of them.
It was always likely that spuds would beat us.
Dippers were helped in their game against us. Milner should not have been able to make that pass to Salad (from which he scored) as he should have seen red previously.
The title is still ours to lose - don't worry about that!
It wasn’t likely that we’d lose to spuds, it was a nailed on certainty! We’re cursed at their new stadium - if we were to ever go there late in the season with them already relegated, we’d still lose, fail to score despite dominating possession and more than likely miss a penalty at a key moment in the game….
 
I think being 1 point behind having the harder fixtures out of the way is huge. Still got 3 of the bottom 5 left too, so great position to be in.

Only Wolves in 6th rest are 12th or below for first half of season

Villa a
Watford a
Wolves h
Leeds h
Newcastle a
Leicester h
Brentford a
 
Only Wolves in 6th rest are 12th or below for first half of season

Villa a
Watford a
Wolves h
Leeds h
Newcastle a
Leicester h
Brentford a
I said after we beat United that there was a good chance we could be on a 10 match winning streak going into the new year.

Being through in the Champions League and out of the League Cup means we'll be a lot fresher in December and January than we usually are.

Villa (A) is probably our toughest game in December.
 
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we're the only club without a noticeable trend of poorer results the higher up the league you go, just some silly dropped points at home holding us back.
It sort of backs up the idea that City have a higher ceiling than the other sides. But we'd also kind of knew that from the games we've played against the other top sides.
 

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