I truly don't know if well win the league this year, but for the benefit of those pundits who are nailing their colours to the mast in August:
Silva will still create chances
Yaya will still perform in some games
Aguero will still bang in fifteen, twenty in the league
Even with a dodgy defence, which we've apparently had to two seasons now, we were good enough to win it or finish second consecutively for four seasons now. I
I don't really care what these guys say to be honest, even prefer being seen as the underdog, but to discount us from the top four is silly. Arsenal look good but have proven time and again they have no stamina for a title race. Chelsea, have they significantly improved? United are splashing the cash on midfielders but seems to be crying out for a centre back and a centre forward. Arguably were doing a similar thing but get slated for it, and even have the bonus of having experienced league winners in our squad.
So therefore what it boils down to at the end of the day is not expert or actual statistical analysis, but personal opinion influenced by personal feeling and hopes. Fine, go at it. When Ladbrokes offer me even 2/1 of us finishing inside the top 4 then I'll sit up and listen, but again then only to take advantage of their idiocy.