US Politics Thread

Gaudion M said:
My understanding is the Speaker has to have 50% or more votes. They have to agree one or they cant officially function so if there is no agreement (or +50) after a first vote they go into multiple ballots until a candidate gets over the line. No other business can progress. It can go on for months like this.

Congress due to start on the 3rd Jan and they would have first vote on speaker that day. But they have a looming spending bill fairly soon so they have to have a speaker to avoid a shut down.

Its highly unlikely that the Republicans will end up seeking support of Dems to get a speaker elected. The Dems are not going to help McCarthy. Its hard to see how anyone else could come forward and overtake him, even with some Dem support you need 200+ GOP votes. Could a handful of GOP help a dem candidate, very unlikely, they would effectively become independents. A third possibility is a non elected speaker, a random could come forward and take whatever votes - again highly unlikely as no candidate.

The likely outcome is a GOP shit show and a much damaged McCarthy getting the job. The question is how much damage to Gatez and co want to cause?
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But the Reps and Dems each have a caucus to choose their candidate (and the Dems at least are supposedly bound to support their candidate). If the Reps all don't vote, then there would not be a quorum. Then what?
 
Vic said:
But the Reps and Dems each have a caucus to choose their candidate (and the Dems at least are supposedly bound to support their candidate). If the Reps all don't vote, then there would not be a quorum. Then what?
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It's a straight majority of votes to get elected as far as I can see. So I assume the multiple votes only occurs if the vote is tied. If thst is the case not sure why there is not more discussion on who the Dems will put forward.
 
Gaudion M said:
Trump has literally nothing to announce. Nothing he can say will be taken seriously. Sad.
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This is literally what people said in 2015-16. My guess is that he's going to be their nominee in 2024 and if by some miracle he doesn't win it he'll torpedo the GQP's candidate by saying the primaries were rigged.
 
super_city_si said:
Probably Kari Lake as his running mate
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Way too soon for that. If he does he's fkin stupid.

But would also be hard evidence he is not taking things seriously. Does he even have a campaign manager? Or anyone with any credibility on the staff? Pence was a carefully chosen pick, announced 4 months before the 2016 election. He was the credibility A state governor and bridge to the establishment gop and the evangelicals. Lake is a loony who just lost an election, and there is 2 years to go.
 
buckshot said:
This is literally what people said in 2015-16. My guess is that he's going to be their nominee in 2024 and if by some miracle he doesn't win it he'll torpedo the GQP's candidate by saying the primaries were rigged.
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True, but lots of water has gone under the bridge. Trump is way past his peak. He will have to fight through the primaries and they don't start for months. If the voting was tomorrow he would win. Let's see what shape he is in this time next year.
 
Gaudion M said:
True, but lots of water has gone under the bridge. Trump is way past his peak. He will have to fight through the primaries and they don't start for months. If the voting was tomorrow he would win. Let's see what shape he is in this time next year.
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Would be interesting to see Trump run against Biden. If he lost, he would have nowhere to turn and be ridiculed if he tried to play the ‘stolen’ card again. However, if he won it would show that the lunatics have finally taken over the west and I’m off to a more democratic part of the world such as China or North Korea.
 
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