US Presidential Election, Nov 5th 2024

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Florida is an early count. I think Harris may nick it and thus be assured of winning, all other things being equal.
I don't see this happening but I hope you're right. The odds of her winning Florida are low but not nil.

I really think the polls are underestimating Harris due to herding but Florida has turned quite red due to a poorly-run state Democratic Party, lots of Republican voters moving into the state, and the GOP equating Democrats to far-left Latin American dictators like Castro and Chavez (which is absurd but enough people of Hispanic descent in FL believe it)

What I hope happens more realistically is that she runs ahead of her polls in NC and GA. That would likely give her the election.
 
I just don't ridicule people for what they say are their personal experiences.

I still can't get my head around why just less than 50% of the voting public will choose Trump. It makes no sense to me but, yes, I am willing to listen because it's going to happen and understanding it will help explain what happens in the next four years.
Surely this is the way forward trying to understand both sides rather then going immediately on the offensive and insulting someone purely because they hold an opposing view. America continues to be more and more polarised and yet you constantly see people getting into arguments and fights rather then discussing the topic like adults.
 
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It’s concerning Trump’s motivations for running for president when yesterday he was snarling into the camera ‘I’ve been waiting four years for this’. It was almost despot like, if he gets the nod what will he spend the next four years doing? Getting back at everyone who he thinks fucked him over last time or actually running a country?
His last presidency was chaotic. It would be worse this time, if he won.
 
People in the UK do especially when the average UK better hasn’t the faintest fucking clue about the impact of Dobbs etc.
Well - I will just have to accept your confidence and hope it is justified

I'm not going to risk any money - but the outcome of this election is of massive importance to everyone. I despair that the world could be on the brink of 4 more years of Trump
 
Does the bet still payout if Trump takes the election decision to court?
Betfair wasn't settled until January in the last election. I'm tempted to put a bet on Harris who is currently drifting like a barge again and nearly 7/4. The money if she wins will be tied up though for 6 or 7 weeks. Still worth it I guess.
 
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