US Presidential Election, Nov 5th 2024

[kaz7]

Question . If it is the six or seven swing states that decide the election why do the other states need to vote ?

 

[Frank the Yank]

Florida is an early count. I think Harris may nick it and thus be assured of winning, all other things being equal.

If she does, it’s all over..

 

[blue for life]

So if Harris wins no matter by how many electoral votes the orange shitgibbon will dispute it but even if he wins by 1 of those votes he accepts the result. Sounds fair!

 

[Gabriel]

Of the five US Presidential Elections held on Tuesday, November 5th (1996,1968,1940, 1912,1872), it's 3-2 to the blues...

 

[FogBlueInSanFran]

Question . If it is the six or seven swing states that decide the election why do the other states need to vote ?

I know this is a rhetorical, but it's important to explain again: state demography and politics change over time. When I was young, CA was fairly red, and OR/WA/CO were absolutely dead red. All those have become blue strongholds now. Swing states change over time. Colo(u)rs are not written in stone. Obviously the deep south was once all blue when the Dixiecrats were the majority of the Democratic party, which eventually migrated Republican.

 

[Gray]

Not that it is really any concern of mine but I think Trump will snatch it, unfortunately.

 

[Johnny Mars Bar]

The dynamic of this is thread is very interesting.

You’ve got a small contingent of us that have been intently following, analysing, discussing, and debating this election for months (even years) in the other US politics threads (that are currently locked). Most with skin in the game as either Americans or, like me, non-Americans that live in the US (and have American children).

You have others—probably most participants—that are just interested in the election on the day and aren’t looking to make any predictions or bold assertions about the why or how or what of the election, they just want to follow along.

Then you have a contingent of posters that were rarely, if ever, seen in the US politics threads, going full Wolf Blitzer, sharing dubious claims, making ignorant but exceedingly confident proclamations, and generally wanting to appear as experts on the subject they have just now decided to care about for the day.

This really is the match thread for the Election.

I follow global politics quite closely though tend to avoid posting in the politics threads on here as, as this thread perfectly demonstrates today, they tend to be full of absolute cranks and weirdos.

(Not you!)

 

[Johnny Mars Bar]

Question . If it is the six or seven swing states that decide the election why do the other states need to vote ?

It’s a bit like being in a safe Labour / Conservative seat here in the UK.

Your vote matters, it’s just beyond the realms of realistic probability that it’ll go a certain way so they’re ‘banked’ by pollsters.

Technically Manchester City council could be run by the Tories, if people voted that way, but they won’t.

Technically California could be won by the Republicans, but it won’t be.

So the focus is always on the swing states. They’re the ‘marginal seats’ of the US electoral college system.

 

[kaz7]

I know this is a rhetorical, but it's important to explain again: state demography and politics change over time. When I was young, CA was fairly red, and OR/WA/CO were absolutely dead red. All those have become blue strongholds now. Swing states change over time. Colo(u)rs are not written in stone. Obviously the deep south was once all blue when the Dixiecrats were the majority of the Democratic party, which eventually migrated Republican.

Thanks. How do you see the election going ? I wouldnt wish trump on anyone

 

[kaz7]

It’s a bit like being in a safe Labour / Conservative seat here in the UK.

Your vote matters, it’s just beyond the realms of realistic probability that it’ll go a certain way so they’re ‘banked’ by pollsters.

Technically Manchester City council could be run by the Tories, if people voted that way, but they won’t.

Technically California could be won by the Republicans, but it won’t be.

So the focus is always on the swing states. They’re the ‘marginal seats’ of the US electoral college system.

Thank you