Westminster voting intentions weekly round up

[BobKowalski]

A boris bounce, mainly at the Brexit Party expence, still bar one poll it's still too close to call on 3 with yougov showing a gap.

Thought there would be a bigger bounce. May was killing it in her first few months. Most popular politician in Britain with a +12% favourability rating was our Theresa.

 

[west didsblue]

Did you sleep through the EU election?

Nope. That was the result of the EU election as well as far as the popular vote went.
The BXP just ended up with the biggest share, won the most seats and therefore won the election. They only got 30% or so of the vote though.

 

[west didsblue]

Lib Dem’s green I’ll give you brexit party speaks for itself. How are you splitting the cons and labour in this fantasy poll of yours?

I’m not. Tories Leave and Labour Remain. The ones that don’t fit this generalisation probably roughly cancel each other out. Just my opinion.

 

[hilts]

I’m not. Tories Leave and Labour Remain. The ones that don’t fit this generalisation probably roughly cancel each other out. Just my opinion.

So pure guesswork based on..... wait for it..... the need for remain to be slightly ahead

Tories leave labour remain ffs

 

[Vic]

So pure guesswork based on..... wait for it..... the need for remain to be slightly ahead

Tories leave labour remain ffs

It's not guesswork.

Ashcroft reckoned 58% of Conservative voters voted Leave and 63% of Labour voters voted Remain. Other pollsters came up with similar results.

It's probably not wise to divert the thread (and it was all gone through three years ago) because individuals will say "that's not why I voted" but the most depressing is that most Leave voters reckoned life was better 30 years ago and would be worse in the future. Pity they voted to make it so.

It's all there though. Most Remainers think immigration and multiculturalism are beneficial, most Leavers don't. Remainers more likely to identify as British, more Leavers as English (not sure what he asked in other bits of the Union but it perhaps explains why so few Leavers seem bothered about breaking up the Union).

https://lordashcroftpolls.com/2019/03/a-reminder-of-how-britain-voted-in-the-eu-referendum-and-why/

 

[Rascal]

Remainers more likely to identify as British, more Leavers as English (not sure what he asked in other bits of the Union but it perhaps explains why so few Leavers seem bothered about breaking up the Union).

Fintan O'Toole's book "heroic failures" explains this superbly. Its the rise of English Nationalism and the adage of exceptionalism.

You can also find a lecture of his on YT on the subject that is worth a look if you are interested.

 

[urban genie]

Poll from yesterday



Poll from friday




Welsh assenbly intentions

 

[cibaman]

Poll from yesterday



Poll from friday




Welsh assenbly intentions

It’s fair to say, the polls could be described as volatile

 

[bluethrunthru]

It’s fair to say, the polls could be described as volatile

There is only one that matters. There is only one party running away from one - not calling for one

 

[cibaman]

There is only one that matters. There is only one party running away from one - not calling for one

I think that could change fairly soon