Westminster voting intentions weekly round up

[urban genie]

With al lthis GE talk threqad update





These top two are with 31st Oct leave/extention scenarios

 

[west didsblue]

With al lthis GE talk threqad update





These top two are with 31st Oct leave/extention scenarios

These seem to reinforce what I’ve been saying that Con + BXP doesn’t really vary by much and has a ceiling of about 47%. It suggests that the Cummings strategy is to transfer as many BXP votes to the Tories as possible by Johnson behaving like he’s living in 1939 and he’s trying to face down the Germans. Hence the WW2 rhetoric.
And that’s the whole strategy.
The only problem is that it might just work as it seems to trigger the latent xenophobia that is present in many of the population.

 

[mcfc1632]

Well if Farage is convinced that Johnson will absolutely do a clean break and therefore only campaigns in seats where the Conservatives are not strong and the Remain vote gets split between Labour and LibDems then the there could be real and lasting benefit for the UK

 

[lancs blue]

Maybe Swinson's policy of revoke isn't as daft as some think? IPSOS MORI poll from the Evening Standard.

 

[mcfc1632]

Not really given too much consideration to that poll, but am I not right to think that the results confirm the view that there is a real potential for a lot of marginals to fall to the Tories due to a split of the rest of the vote between Labour and LibDems?

 

[Fred_Quimby]

Not really given too much consideration to that poll, but am I not right to think that the results confirm the view that there is a real potential for a lot of marginals to fall to the Tories due to a split of the rest of the vote between Labour and LibDems?

Don't think so. There are big moves afoot in the Labour Party to oust remainers, Diane Johnson in Hull, Watson the Labour deputy etc. Will not be surprised if there are moves at the Labour conference to support leave.

 

[mcfc1632]

In other threads there seems to be quite a bit of reference to recent polls - Just wondering if there is any recent data on this?

 

[hilts]

In other threads there seems to be quite a bit of reference to recent polls - Just wondering if there is any recent data on this?

Don’t trust the you gov ones they seem quite biased to the Tories, in fact best not to trust any polls.

 

[hgblue]

In other threads there seems to be quite a bit of reference to recent polls - Just wondering if there is any recent data on this?

Lol, rest assured that if this thread is quiet the Tories must be doing well.....

 

[Ric]

Lol, rest assured that if this thread is quiet the Tories must be doing well.....

Not really. It’s always been a relatively quiet thread.