Arsenal aren't going to fail to beat the Dippers, no chance. Dippers will try to attack and their powderpuff midfield will be overrun.The banana skin game is the match vs the Rags - we have form for messing that fixture up.
Also Leeds away is no gimme.
I have Arsenal getting 14 from the next 6 games and City 12.
I've got;
Arsenal: Bmth(A) win. Lvpl (H) win. Forest (A) win. Rags (H) draw. Leeds (A) draw. Sunderland (H) win.
City: Chelsea (H) win. Brighton (H) win. Rags (A) draw. Wolves (H) win. Spuds (A) draw. Lvpl (A) draw.
The week 1st -8th Feb is a really tricky one for City with Newcastle sandwiched in between Spuds and Dippers.
To be honest I had Arsenal drawing 1 away game and 1 home game, Liverpool or United and Forest or Leeds, I just hedged on it being Liverpool and Forest. Bournemouth also potentially tricky but you will win some of them. So 14 points, 2 draws in there, I just don't know where.
If I was being pessimistic I'd have us on 12 losing to Spurs and Liverpool but going optimistic and saying we beat Spurs. I'll say 15 points and we claw a point back.
Even in your scenario where we lose 2 points on you, 6 points after those tricky February games is acceptable.