COVID-19 — Coronavirus

[Ban-jani]

It does not currently have an estimated mortality rate of 1%, it is between 2-4% depending on sources/time, and especially not in people with high-risk pre-existing medical conditions, which is the case for a fairly large portion of the world population. Not to mention the mortality rate will increase if the healthcare system is overwhelmed with severe cases, which is likely if serious containment and slowing of transmission is not achieved give the current estimated severe case rate is 15-25%, depending on sources/time.

Which is one of the many reasons why most people not being arsed is a big problem.

Surely the mortality rate takes into consideration those who are ill anyway?

 

[SWP's back]

Starting to worry me as I have a young baby, I’m 12 weeks pregnant and I’m already immune compromised due to medication for my Ulcerative colitis . Worrying about my babies so much

Good news is that children under ten have a zero fatality rate and barely even show symptoms.

 

[SebastianBlue]

Surely the mortality rate takes into consideration those who are ill anyway?

The estimated mortality rate is overall, as is estimated CFR (which is slightly different) — you are thinking of the estimated mortality rates or estimated CFRs based on cohorts, which a few have quoted on here but not always with accuracy. It is very important not to mix these up.

It’s also important to remember these are very rough estimates because data collection right now is not very good, for legitimate and illegitimate reasons.

The rates could be higher or lower, which is exactly why we should be taking it seriously.

 

[SWP's back]

It does not currently have an estimated mortality rate of 1%, it is between 2-4% depending on sources/time/location, and especially not in people with high-risk pre-existing medical conditions (it’s much higher), which is the case for a fairly large portion of the world population. Not to mention the mortality rate will increase if the healthcare system is overwhelmed with severe cases, which is likely if serious containment and slowing of transmission is not achieved given the current estimated severe case rate is 15-25%, depending on sources/time/location.

Which is one of the many reasons why most people not being arsed is a big problem.

You’re a ray of sunshine.

 

[Cheesy]

Surely the mortality rate takes into consideration those who are ill anyway?

It does. The best guess to mortality rate is around 1%.

https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/amp/health-51674743

 

[SebastianBlue]

Starting to worry me as I have a young baby, I’m 12 weeks pregnant and I’m already immune compromised due to medication for my Ulcerative colitis . Worrying about my babies so much

As other have pointed out, current data suggest that there is very low risk to your baby. :-)

But you will still want to take reasonable precautions for yourself, of course.

 

[SebastianBlue]

You’re a ray of sunshine.

Just trying to point the discussion to current available information.

You’ll see I’ve been joking in here, as well. ;-)

 

[SebastianBlue]

It does. The best guess to mortality rate is around 1%.

https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/amp/health-51674743

That’s one of many assessments, mate, and is itself a “best guess” from one source, as indicated in the article.

That article states the following, which is also in line with my and others posts in here based on a range of assessments available from WHO, CDC, and other medical research sources.

Researchers currently think that between five and 40 coronavirus cases in 1,000 will result in death, with a best guess of nine in 1,000 or about 1%.

On Sunday, Health Secretary Matt Hancock said the UK government's "very best assessment" was that the mortality rate was "2% or, likely, lower".

But it depends on a range of factors: your age, sex and general health and the health system you are in.

I am not fear mongering (and haven’t been), just trying to explain why not taking it seriously could be very problematic.

 

[malg]

It's once it gets into jizz or mosquitos that the real drama will start.

Bwahahaha......

 

[Millwallawayveteran1988]

Italy cases up to 2,032 and now 52 deaths - the amount of infections must be significantly higher than being reported

You can see why the have taken the steps they have. Almost every case in the UK is linked to visits to Italy.