KnaresboroughBlue
Well-Known Member
Infection rate tracker
It does look like weather slows it down. Unfortunately we're a bit buggered on that front as well.
Infection rate tracker
And BTW, to anyone under 40, fit and healthy thinking "Well I will be OK", bear in mind this. The official figures have your chances of dying at 0.2% - two people in 1,000. However, this has been calculated as a percentage of ALL cases, including those for which there is no outcome yet. Not the proportion of those who have recovered. And some of the active cases will also die. So the 0.2% is woefully understated since very few cases yet have outcomes. Furthermore, if you do get seriously ill, your chances of survival are good, provided you have access to the proper intensive care and ventilator equipment. If the NHS doesn't have any (and on current course, it won't), then you're fucked. So again, the 0.2% is woefully low. My guess it will be 5x that at least. We are going to see lots of fit and healthy young people dying over this, IMO needlessly.
I was in Spain last week 26°
On what basis do you calculate its 5x worse? Or did you just make that up? You say the death rate is a percentage of all ongoing cases, but you fail to mention all the unknown cases that had it and survived, which will naturally reduce the percentage.Sorry to disappoint you but it is not.
2 39 year olds died in Italy yesterday. One had underlying respiratory issues, one had diabetes.There’s probably tens of thousands of people if not more who have/had it and it’s not going to be accounted for in % like that.
Honestly the numbers mean nothing now, we know it’s going to be widespread. The only number important now unfortunately is the total deaths one.
We won’t see lots of fit and healthy people dying from this.
I don’t think there’s been 1 death of anyone under 40 in Italy for example.
the short term business case for the government's strategy is unanswerable at least then ;)
Ministers had previously resisted calls to ban large-scale gatherings even though some major sporting events including the London Marathon and all Premier League matches have already been postponed
A Whitehall source said: "Ministers are working with the chief scientific adviser and chief medical officer on our plan to stop various types of public event, including mass gatherings, beginning next week
"We will publish this legislation next week
https://news.sky.com/story/coronavirus-ten-more-die-after-positive-diagnosis-11957525
They really ballsed up this part of the plan,now it has been taken out if their hands by the sporting bodies themselves they are wasting time bringing in legistation to be able to ban what is not taking place anymore
Remember if they had their way we would all be going to every sporting event still
hahahahahahahahI suspect the weather will slow it down to some degreee. I was looking at Thailand which was on about the same level as the UK. They haven't really taken many measures and it is now miles behind the UK with less than 100 cases and one death.