COVID-19 — Coronavirus

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Psychedelic Casual said:
I don’t know why anyone is paying any sort of attention to any daily death figures after it was shown that we are just popping previous days’ deaths on to any old days’ stats:
https://www.google.co.uk/amp/s/amp....-hold-in-uk-earlier-than-thought-data-reveals
“On Thursday, 561 deaths were reported, but only 84 took place in the 24 hours to 5pm on 1 April.”

All daily stats are null and void, for us at least. You can’t read anything into them.
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Nah, they aren't null and void for that reason.
Divide previous day death totals before the change by 24 and allocate 15/24ths to the next day.

The rest of UK statistics are pretty dire.
New case totals are actually "cases requiring medical intervention" for the most part but we dont know hospital admissions for COVID-19 in the UK or positive tests on NHS staff - Not till quarterly ONS stats come out anyway.
 
Rammy Blue said:
I disagree about it lessening the effectiveness of social distancing, that’s about all we can do until a vaccine comes along, however it does prove that contact tracing is utterly pointless.
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Sorry i should have expanded on that. When i say reduce effectiveness i don't mean the act of it now. More so when it is relaxed many will be lulled into a false sense of security they are fine to move around people. It is more of a "sleeper agent" than we first thought.

The main finding was how it messes up contact mapping.
 
Claytop said:
https://www.bmj.com/content/369/bmj.m1375

Could be rubbish but would be pretty big if anywhere near that number was asymptomatic.

Not seen it reported anywhere else than there mind.
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The thing that confuses me about these sort of reports are if true and the virus has been in circulation longer than we think why do the serious and fatal cases seem to happen in such a clump and spike over a few weeks surely those vulnerable to serious cases of it would catch it from early on. Having said that my son seemed to have all the symptoms over new year, my wife then just had a cough my daughter and myself nothing. We’ve discounted it because the time and contaigence seem all wrong but it would be interesting to be able to get an antibody test for him at some point.
 
Gabriel said:
Today's figures from Belgium and the Netherlands look starkly different in terms of new cases (1,661 and 904, respectively), but both countries advise focussing on the number hospitalised.

Belgium:
"Of the newly confirmed cases, 503 have been hospitalised, bringing the total to 7,773, of whom 1,245 are in intensive care, 40 in the last 24 hours. The ICU capacity in the country is filled to the tune of 56%. 985 people are on respirators, an increase of 69 in the past 24 hours."
https://www.brusselstimes.com/all-n...irus-1661-new-cases-confirmed-140-new-deaths/

Netherlands
A total of 904 new cases yesterday of whom 336 were hospitalised.
https://www.rivm.nl/actuele-informatie-over-coronavirus
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As I said you need to know the number hospitalised as a result of positive testing and the criteria for doing the test in the first place.
 
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