COVID-19 — Coronavirus

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The vulnerable and those at high risk, thought that was pretty obvious when I said why lock down the young and healthy.

The would be ideal but the problem is when the young and healthy live with the old and high risk people, which I am sure many do.

My mother and I would be classed as at high risk. My wife and 3 kids would be classed as young and healthy.
 
I know they are your Angels Karen but they are no more special than any other group. I wonder how many women were given a good hiding last night from their abusive partner who is sick of being told to stay at home and sick of being asked why they can't afford x,y,z? I wonder how many people, have considered or attempted suicide due to the financial pressure they are now under? I wonder how many cancer patients have had years knocked off their lives due to lack of treatment?

I could go on.

200 is a lot or an insignificant number depending on your perspective. It's about 0.5% of the total excess mortality so far.

there will be two enquiries.

one in about 12 months time where the govt will face questions about whether it locked down soon enough, was it prepared enough and was the flight policy correct etc.are our death numbers too high.

Another in 3 / 5 years when we have all the data and we evaluate the true cost and damage of our actions and the number of deaths and issues from the lockdown as well . At the moment we are pausing our lives, seeing friends and family , postponing weddings and christenings businesses and livelihoods up in smoke and we will evaluate was our response proportionate to the problem. Let’s say 50,000 deaths from Covid out of a population 68,000,000.
 
It's a question for the future certainly. However I fail to see it's relevance to the current discussion unless you know of a special way to prevent anyone from being infected. If you do please speak up!

Nope, was just a general comment that had been mulling about in my head.
 
I know they are your Angels Karen but they are no more special than any other group. I wonder how many women were given a good hiding last night from their abusive partner who is sick of being told to stay at home and sick of being asked why they can't afford x,y,z? I wonder how many people, have considered or attempted suicide due to the financial pressure they are now under? I wonder how many cancer patients have had years knocked off their lives due to lack of treatment?

I could go on.

200 is a lot or an insignificant number depending on your perspective. It's about 0.5% of the total excess mortality so far.
Well I see people,you see numbers
 
You have had your head in the sand from the start,you should pay attention to the stories of the young people dying and front line workers who are nowhere near being old and vulnerable,please don't quote me again

And there we go, no rational comeback so revert to your default response.

You should pay attention to the young killing themselves because they are locked in their house or the kids being murdered by abusive family members. What about the 16 women and kids murdered due to lockdown, do they not count?
 
The would be ideal but the problem is when the young and healthy live with the old and high risk people, which I am sure many do.

My mother and I would be classed as at high risk. My wife and 3 kids would be classed as young and healthy.

There's no one size fits all solution either way is there. Which is why a combination of lockdown and business as usual with social distancing etc would have been better in my opinion. There is no benefit in me being locked in my house for 23 hours a day. My Mum is high risk, I just wouldn't be able to visit her the same way I'm not now.
 
Depending on the age of the resident's they may not be suitable for ventilation anyway. Many covid patients don't get ventilation because they are too frail for the invasive procedure. This wasn't taken into account when the mass ventilator hysteria was in full flow a month ago. Turns out really old people can't survive ventilation and many doctors knew this. It just didn't make the news.
No. you are right. Bloody shame. My mum is locked down in a dementia care home so its cross fingers that she stays safe.
 
You don't need an enquiry. It's the same answer as the UK. The models at the time gave extremely high death rates.
I think that is fair.
So many variables and decisions that may be affected by science, politics, policing, geography, population, density of population capabilities, age, finance etc.
As you say death happens whatever the measures taken.
 
There's no one size fits all solution either way is there. Which is why a combination of lockdown and business as usual with social distancing etc would have been better in my opinion. There is no benefit in me being locked in my house for 23 hours a day. My Mum is high risk, I just wouldn't be able to visit her the same way I'm not now.

In retrospect this is may well be accurate but its one that will be debated for years. but with the risk of overwhelming the NHS and at that point this being quite an unknown quantity this was probably the best move we had. and we would have overwhelemd the NHS in a major way if we hadn't locked down when we did. would have had to softer blocks way before if we wanted to do it that way.

Im sticking to my view that in the next 3/6 months we will loosen the lockdown a fair bit, open the Sluice gates as it were and get a steady flow of infections but without that risk of overloading the NHS.

if they stand down these nightingale hospitals then maybe we'll be a lot more cautious about it but I do view those as key to the end game.
 
Karen, let's do some very easy maths together ok?

Im going to use the term mean.


1) What is the mean time between infection and symptoms?
2) What is the mean time between symptoms and death?

answer 1) 5 days
answer 2) 18 days

add them together = 23 days.

So from catching it to dying takes on average 23 days.


3) When did the most people in English hospitals die from covid (the peak)?

answer 3) 8th April.

4) when did they catch it?

answer 4) 23 days before the 8th April which is 16th of March

Here comes the big one!

When did the UK go into "lockdown"?

I'll let you answer that yourself and see if you can draw any conclusions.
Thanks for the patronising shit
 
Karen, let's do some very easy maths together ok?

Im going to use the term mean.


1) What is the mean time between infection and symptoms?
2) What is the mean time between symptoms and death?

answer 1) 5 days
answer 2) 18 days

add them together = 23 days.

So from catching it to dying takes on average 23 days.


3) When did the most people in English hospitals die from covid (the peak)?

answer 3) 8th April.

4) when did they catch it?

answer 4) 23 days before the 8th April which is 16th of March

Here comes the big one!

When did the UK go into "lockdown"?

I'll let you answer that yourself and see if you can draw any conclusions.

real elephant in the room which journos obviously ignore is how many lives have you saved by the actions that the govt has taken and the sacrifices it has asked the population to take.

the issue is not the number of lives lost , but the number of additional lives said by your measures. The virus was here and would take lives we know that no matter what we would have done.

So when I said 50,000 deaths locking down ( and if people say we have not really locked down ok imagine you are Spain or Italy then it’s the same) what would be the actual number of deaths if we had followed Sweden or South Korea model which was social distance and common sense ?

Even if it had risen to 60,000 deaths is saving that additional 10,000 deaths worth the long term consequences of the lockdown. The cancer professor has estimated there will be an additional 18,000 cancer deaths coming later because of the lockdown and delayed treatment .
 
Karen people were always going to die. Look at the start of the thread. It would be more shocking if people had not died don’t you think?

this virus we know people are going to die . The question we should be asking as why have the 3 countries with the tightest lockdowns is Europe got the worst death rates , Italy Spain and the uk .

The reason is simple. Those three countries all implemented lockdown way after the horse had bolted.

Spain locked down when there were over 5k cases. UK nearly 4k. Both countries had well over 100 deaths by this stage.

Let's look at Greece.

On the 27th of Feb when they had 1 confirmed case they cancelled carnival season. They closed schools on the 10th March when cases had reached 89, still no deaths mind you. 3 days later, the day Spain locked down, Greece closed bars and restaurants, 190 cases and 1 death.

Locking down early was the key for Greece having such low numbers. They took preventative action, like New Zealand, the UAE and others.

The three countries at the top of the European table took their time and then thought fuck.
 
Time will tell, unless we get somewhere near herd immunity we are locked down until a vaccine is available which can't happen. I don't understand how people think that when we come out of lockdown, whether it's this week or 6 weeks that the to number of infections won't just go back up.

https://m.washingtontimes.com/news/2020/apr/28/coronavirus-hype-biggest-political-hoax-in-history/

Interesting counter view there which would suggest an enquiry will be needed as to why America didn't follow herd immunity.

We don't know at the moment but for sure questions will be asked one way or another.
Have you seen the fact that the U.K. has experienced twice as many deaths as it normally would average so far this year. That’s some fucking hoax that.
 
The reason is simple. Those three countries all implemented lockdown way after the horse had bolted.

Spain locked down when there were over 5k cases. UK nearly 4k. Both countries had well over 100 deaths by this stage.

Let's look at Greece.

On the 27th of Feb when they had 1 confirmed case they cancelled carnival season. They closed schools on the 10th March when cases had reached 89, still no deaths mind you. 3 days later, the day Spain locked down, Greece closed bars and restaurants, 190 cases and 1 death.

Locking down early was the key for Greece having such low numbers. They took preventative action, like New Zealand, the UAE and others.

The three countries at the top of the European table took their time and then thought fuck.


I am afraid that in the fullness of time it will become very clear that Spain, Italy, Us, and the Yanks made an absolute fucking mess of it early doors. Italy being perhaps the only one with much of an excuse to not have ordered a lock down a bloody sight quicker than they did.

Any consideration of herd immunity would have and still is insanity until it has actually been established what level of immunity having been infected actually gives you.
 
herd immunity. How you get it without half the population dead is the big issue.
Still not proved that those who have had it ARE immune
Research from South Korea indicates that reinfections were actually due to false positive tests:
https://news.sky.com/story/coronavirus-scientists-conclude-people-cannot-be-infected-twice-11981721
https://www.livescience.com/coronavirus-reinfections-were-false-positives.html

As to short term immunity B and T lymphocyte cells are now know to exist for at least 3 months from people who were ill (not mild illness).
Medium and long term immunity will be dependent on whether B & T lymphocyte memory cells created in small numbers during illness are bound to our bone marrow and how fast the virus mutates.
 
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The reason is simple. Those three countries all implemented lockdown way after the horse had bolted.

Spain locked down when there were over 5k cases. UK nearly 4k. Both countries had well over 100 deaths by this stage.

Let's look at Greece.

On the 27th of Feb when they had 1 confirmed case they cancelled carnival season. They closed schools on the 10th March when cases had reached 89, still no deaths mind you. 3 days later, the day Spain locked down, Greece closed bars and restaurants, 190 cases and 1 death.

Locking down early was the key for Greece having such low numbers. They took preventative action, like New Zealand, the UAE and others.

The three countries at the top of the European table took their time and then thought fuck.

I'd imagine Spain Italy France and the UK have a hell of a lot more people visiting them than Greece in February and March too.
 
I am afraid that in the fullness of time it will become very clear that Spain, Italy, Us, and the Yanks made an absolute fucking mess of it early doors. Italy being perhaps the only one with much of an excuse to not have ordered a lock down a bloody sight quicker than they did.

Any consideration of herd immunity would have and still is insanity until it has actually been established what level of immunity having been infected actually gives you.
This,we assumed immunity,nearly four months on an nobody will confirm immunity still and this virus is throwing up surprises everyday
 
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