COVID-19 — Coronavirus

[Man_City_Loyal]

They aren’t going up here, whether they have fallen enough is a different debate.

before weekend they were reporting under 400 were they not?

 

[Rammy Blue]

before weekend they were reporting under 400 were they not?

The figure today picks up the slack from the reporting over the 3 day bank holiday weekend.

 

[Chippy_boy]

They threw that number out at the start on purpose and for this very reason.

TBF the 500,000 number was an extremely likely worst-case scenario. It pretty well matches the very detailed modelling done as part of the study which was documented in the BBC "Contagion" program in 2018. With an R of only 2 (ish - I cannot remember the extact number), a virus if unchecked will very quickly (a matter of only a few months) infect the majority of the population, with absolutely diabolical consequences.

 

[blueparrot]

before weekend they were reporting under 400 were they not?

693 Last Tuesday which is usually the highest day after the lower weekend figures.Compared to todays 627.
The under 400 you mention may be just the hospital number think that was down in the 300 s today karen usually knows that figure

 

[kevin horlocks wand]

693 Last Tuesday which is usually the highest day after the lower weekend figures.Compared to todays 627.
The under 400 you mention may be just the hospital number think that was down in the 300 s today karen usually knows that figure

don’t forget it was a 3 day weekend as well

 

[asahartford1]

Not everyone has sense hence you have to spell it out,when you have hancock and his you can't see your loved ones from the garden because you have to go through the house to get to the garden answer to the question this morning you have to ask why he just didn't say because you would be tempted to hug them

And those who are that thick, will not be watching or listening to any government advice.
It is simple.

 

[Cityfan]

TBF the 500,000 number was an extremely likely worst-case scenario. It pretty well matches the very detailed modelling done as part of the study which was documented in the BBC "Contagion" program in 2018. With an R of only 2 (ish - I cannot remember the extact number), a virus if unchecked will very quickly (a matter of only a few months) infect the majority of the population, with absolutely diabolical consequences.

I suspect that number may still be realistic without suppression. 1% mortality, population of 60M and 80% infected. Can't say what the increased number of deaths could be if medical facilities get over run. Lets hope the Infection fatality rate is under 1% there is some evidence that it is but not wholly convincing and the 4% UK antibody suggestion is certainly inline with 1% or so depending on time of measurement.

 

[Stoned Rose]

Cleaners they say.

Does anyone on here actually have a cleaner?

 

[jay_mcfc]

TBF the 500,000 number was an extremely likely worst-case scenario. It pretty well matches the very detailed modelling done as part of the study which was documented in the BBC "Contagion" program in 2018. With an R of only 2 (ish - I cannot remember the extact number), a virus if unchecked will very quickly (a matter of only a few months) infect the majority of the population, with absolutely diabolical consequences.

I agree it was always a possibility but it was never a reality. The government had to intervene at some point so there should never be any kind of talk that implies they have saved lives.

 

[cleavers]

The figure today picks up the slack from the reporting over the 3 day bank holiday weekend.

And includes deaths from as far back as March.

 

[SWP's back]

He shouldn't have turned nasty bully then

He added a great more to this thread then a large number of posters in it and twosips didn’t want him banned nor did he report it and in fact stated that he “probably deserved it”.

 

[kaz7]

TBF the 500,000 number was an extremely likely worst-case scenario. It pretty well matches the very detailed modelling done as part of the study which was documented in the BBC "Contagion" program in 2018. With an R of only 2 (ish - I cannot remember the extact number), a virus if unchecked will very quickly (a matter of only a few months) infect the majority of the population, with absolutely diabolical consequences.

It was worst case if we did nothing,it should not be used now as a look how well we have done,i think it was whitty who said keeping it to 20,000 would be a good job,the question is /should be around that number

 

[ayrshire_blue]

And includes deaths from as far back as March.

But that's the case every day so you can only work with what you've got. I agree the best figure to compare it to is last Tuesday's, but even at that we have to factor in the bank holiday Monday this week so this week's figure might be even higher because of that. Tomorrow and Thursday will give us a much better idea of figures when we compare them to last Wednesday and Thursday.

 

[robbieh]

There may well be many stages to this pandemic but the UK's figures remain stubbornly high. It's very sad.

 

[kaz7]

And those who are that thick, will not be watching or listening to any government advice.
It is simple.

You excuse them for not using plain simple language if you like,coming out with ridiculous stuff instead of plain language ,several ministers saying it differently,just say it normal plain words, you can't see your relatives because you will be tempted to hug them or get closer to them than strangers

Boom done

 

[kaz7]

He added a great more to this thread then a large number of posters in it and twosips didn’t want him banned nor did he report it and in fact stated that he “probably deserved it”.

It was nothing to do with me ! I did tell him to calm down after the first one so I tried to help him,like I said we all getting stressed ,all good now anyway

 

[cleavers]

But that's the case every day so you can only work with what you've got. I agree the best figure to compare it to is last Tuesday's, but even at that we have to factor in the bank holiday Monday this week so this week's figure might be even higher because of that. Tomorrow and Thursday will give us a much better idea of figures when we compare them to last Wednesday and Thursday.

We didn't have a "bank holiday Monday" it was Friday, which was why Saturday's figure was down on the previous Saturday.

The other measure they've been using the "7 day rolling average" will be affected to a degree by the extra day off.

 

[ayrshire_blue]

We didn't have a "bank holiday Monday" it was Friday, which was why Saturday's figure was down on the previous Saturday.

The other measure they've been using the "7 day rolling average" will be affected to a degree by the extra day off.

Sorry, my bad. You're absolutely right. I'm messing up my days of the week right now.

 

[cleavers]

Sorry, my bad. You're absolutely right. I'm messing up my days of the week right now.

Haha, I think many of us are doing that.

 

[blueparrot]

Haha, I think many of us are doing that.

Got told by the wife to put the bins out today so I did. When they weren’t emptied she realised it was the wrong day asked me why I didn’t tell her. Like I ‘d know what day the bins get collected.