St.Pauli support
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- 17 Feb 2010
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The sooner we get an idea of infection rates the better but looks like there are big differences across the regions.
“Around 5% of Briton's had been infected with Covid-19 at the start of April, according to a new study from St Andrew's University.
The study also found Scotland had a lower infection rate than England by 3 April.
Infection rates were highest in urban areas, with more than 10% of London's population predicted to have been infected.
Meanwhile some remote and rural areas of the UK had not seen any cases at all.
Professor Hill Kulu said: “The good news is that because the coronavirus is not widely spread, and the number of active cases has declined during the lockdown, its suppression and control is possible with various public health measures before the cure and vaccine become available."
Whatever his assumptions are based on, 5% would be an astonishing high number IMO.
5% Britons are about 3.39m, whereas roughly 40k where tested positive early April.
That would be a dark figure of 98.8%. Wow.
We still don't know about true cases
and if we have had many asymptomatics without any antibody production
we will never know unless we would be able to detect that kind of immunogical memory.
Anyway, seems too high for me but hopefully we get a clearer view some day.