Coronavirus (2021) thread

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Scotland vaccination data:

1, 412, 643 first doses given - 26, 491 yesterday - down from 31, 186 day before - was 59, 820 last Saturday

33, 473 second doses - 2287 yesterday - down from 4846 day before - was 443 last Saturday

Numbers are down in Scotland notably.

96% of all care home residents vaccinated, 94% of staff.

100% of 75 - 79 year olds, 95% of 70 - 74 year olds & 78% of 65 to 70 year olds living in community vaccinated.
 
Scotland data:


29 deaths - was 45 last week

803 cases - was 908 last week

4.6% positive - was 4.9% last week

1154 patients - down 68 on yesterday - was 1449 last week

102 ventilated icu - up 4 on yesterday - was 110 last week

* a little concern over this last number as it was 95 two days ago.


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That ICU number isn’t necessarily a great concern though we should see a general downward trend. A bit of upward movement amongst falls can mean a few patients moving into ICU from covid wards, not great but inevitable some will, but less moving out, which might simply be less dying but staying on icu which is better.
 
The vulnerable are vaccinated and our roadmap to recovery is in April you can sit in someone’s garden. I wouldn’t plan on anything
The vulnerable being vaccinated doesn’t stop cases amongst the under 60s where most of the spread occurs though. So until we are down that road, probably August ish then restrictions will be lifted with caution.
Not sure what you were expecting. Be thankfull for small victories like sitting in the garden or a park with friends and family.
Or be grateful those that need to can visit and hold the hands of loved ones in a care home.
We all want to get back to normal but also none of us want to end up ever needing a full lockdown to be needed again.
 
The vulnerable are vaccinated and our roadmap to recovery is in April you can sit in someone’s garden. I wouldn’t plan on anything
The vulnerable are not vaccinated. - Those between 50 and 70 haven't been done yet and 60% of the BAME community over 70 have not yet had a jab. Barely 5% have had both jabs as well
 
Not at all happy with all children returning to school all at once. It must be a phased return over a month so schools get their Covid-19 variant processes right.
Infection reports had most cases in Primary Schools over the last 2 weeks - where an average of 40% of kids are still at school. Then at work and in multigenerational households.
There's a common denominator there.
 
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Northern Ireland data:

3 deaths - was 10 last week

276 cases - was 303 last week

16.3% positivity - was 16.1% last week (about 5.6 % in the usual UK number sense)

7 day case total 2070 - down from 2072 yesterday - was 2293 last week

47 care home outbreaks - no change - was 78 last week

392 patients - down 11 in day - was 482 last week

Ventilated 42 - up 1 in day - was 50 last week.
 
The vulnerable are not vaccinated. - Those between 50 and 70 haven't been done yet and 60% of the BAME community over 70 have not yet had a jab. Barely 5% have had both jabs as well
As I just posted before 78% of those aged 65 to 70 HAVE been vaccinated in Scotland and plenty in England too. Me included 11 days ago.

The second jab only tops up. By the looks of the data much of the protection comes within 3 weeks of the first.

So the more we vaccinate the more are protected and should show in the data given how well we are doing this.

But we certainly should not rush into anything and do not expect them to in the next 6 weeks or so at least

I get the feeling they are aiming to give everyone the chance to be vaccinated down to age 40 by late Spring so then - hopefully - reasonable levels of normality will be possible - as that ought to prevent 95% or so of all deaths and severe illness if things carry on as planned

Yes - it is a race against new variants of course. But so far we seem to be winning.
 
Not at all happy with all children returning to school at once. It must be a phased return over a month so schools get their Covid-19 variant processes right.
Schools will be covid ready. Most have been operating already for the last 6 weeks at about 50% capacity on average this time around.
So it’s not the same as when they went back in September. This time it’s 50% going to 100% when last time it was 5/10% going back to 100%.
 
Question to teachers or partners of teachers .What are the teachers union views on get teachers vaccinated before they go back to work ? Surely they should be pushing the government hard for this to happen
 
As I just posted before 78% of those aged 65 to 70 HAVE been vaccinated in Scotland and plenty in England too.

The second jab only tops up. By the looks of the data much of the protection comes within 3 weeks of the first.

So the more we vaccinate the more are protected and should show in the data given how well we are doing this.

But we certainly should not rush into anything and do not expect them to in the next 6 weeks or so at least

I get the feeling they are aiming to give everyone the chance to be vaccinated down to age 40 by late Spring so then - hopefully - reasonable levels of normality will be possible - as that ought to prevent 95% or so of all deaths and severe illness if things carry on as planned

Yes - it is a race against new variants of course. But so far we seem to be winning.
By my rough in the head calcs 12 weeks from the 15th Feb should see all the first 4 -5 groups with 2 doses, and all groups 5-9 with one dose. So second week in May. Then we'll be starting second doses for groups 5-9 and we'll be doing 40 year olds first doses by then but most 40 year olds and other under 50 adults working in health care or with any underlying conditions will have been done in the first 6 groups.
I'd expect most re opening to be from 10th May ish. They can't though keep schools shut until then and think opening has to start now though think the phased opening of the devolved countries is going to be far better than any mass opening touted for England.
 
I am not planning a thing. Have sort of written off this year again albeit with the easing of some restrictions. Sad but I think probably true.
My holiday home needs opening,£3,500 site fees.Last year it was July with lockdown from March,I have a good feeling it will be April this year.
 
Listen to your body and take your time. I had Acute Bronchitis around this time, two years ago. It knocked me sideways for some weeks. It made realise that I wasn't in a hurry to go somewhere. Where you've been most probably more severe but the same applies. Take your time.

Mate, good to see you posting but I really hope you don't mind me saying to perhaps lower, if not cancel any expectations you've got in your head. You've taken it sore in terms of exhaustion and lethargy, if I were you I'd be getting running out of my head just now and not beginning to focus on that until the exhaustion eases. No time frames or expectations, just as it comes and feels better. You know your own body and it'll tell you what's right.

I'm sure you'll battle through it fella, just take it easy.

I had acute bronchitis. That was bloody awful. I had problems breathing for two weeks. When I say 'problems breathing', I mean having to take a break once or twice when going up the stairs in the house.

Good to see you and somapop have come through the virus. Your advice needs to be taken.

I think you will remember I posted about the fella my mate worked with who had several weeks off work due to a virus (was a few years ago so not Covid). He was a keen runner and keep fit fanatic, on his first day back at work he went for a run despite him being told not to. He arrived back at the workshop and died in front of his colleagues. The virus had weakened his heart, very sad for his family and colleagues.

Sorry to repeat but it's very important to get the R & R after major illness which Covid and long Covid is.
Thanks everyone.
Definitely feels like some bronchial issues lingering & an occasionally racing heart as others have experienced.
Presumably this is due to the virus weakening it and will hopefully regain its strength.

Too long in the tooth to rush back....just something I’m looking forward too but I’m pretty good at listening to my body.

It’s weird as the last week I’ve definitely dropped energy wise, but this probably ties in with me walking again. Get a decent sleep mind.

Some unpleasant stories about people going back too early (exertion wise).

I think those of us who have had a tough time really feel the anger at those still pushing the ‘plandemic’ agenda.
Saw another flapjack harassing a hospital to give out their data on deaths to ‘prove’ it’s a conspiracy.

I’ve lost my calm with these people (be it ‘ransoms’ or family). Oddly feels cathartic.
 
Total cases today from the three nations with England to come is 1442

Last 5 weeks:

3056 v 2186 v 1960 v 1611 v 1442 Today

So, yes, still a fall but now really slowly as is inevitable when you get this low.
 
Schools will be covid ready. Most have been operating already for the last 6 weeks at about 50% capacity on average this time around.
So it’s not the same as when they went back in September. This time it’s 50% going to 100% when last time it was 5/10% going back to 100%.
Still dangerous considering where most infections are at the moment:
- Primary Schools
- Work
- Multigenerational households.
There's an obvious common denominator there.
Returning all kids to Primary School at the moment will double cases overnight
 
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