Coronavirus (2021) thread

Status
Not open for further replies.
Ric said:
Decided to start a new thread for housekeeping purposes, as the previous thread had become too big and was causing performance issues.

As before, let’s keep the discussion civil and respectful, and leave the overtly political stuff or conspiracy theories to the separate, relevant threads. Thanks.
Click to expand...

Can you help me. Ian trying to put up my first post and I would like to open the above URL inside my page. Am I allowed to do that and if yes then how?
 
roubaixtuesday said:
Doubling time less than two weeks currently for cases; all expectation is that hospitalizations will follow the same trend.

Further relaxation expected to accelerate this, to even shorter times, against which more vaccinations every day and summer weather help us.

Unless there is radical change in the coming week there's no way we should be doing anything 21st IMO.

Click to expand...


would be interesting to see the age profile of people going to hospital and how severe the illnesses are and legths of stays, compare it to the waves before

however if you wait for that to make decisions it could be too late.

Wish they had put more effort in to Vac passports tbh, even if it was only for a couple of months could have saved a lot of bother
 
Del_Bosque said:
would be interesting to see the age profile of people going to hospital and how severe the illnesses are and legths of stays, compare it to the waves before

however if you wait for that to make decisions it could be too late.

Wish they had put more effort in to Vac passports tbh, even if it was only for a couple of months could have saved a lot of bother
Click to expand...


Chris Hopson hints that they’re younger and staying less time in hospital in this article.
 
Cases across the regions:


Change in last 24 hrs V seven days ago


SOUTH


East - Something may be wrong here as data shows a fall of 281 to just 87 V 116 - that is a HUGE fall if true.

London Down 67 to 635 V 355

South East Down 59 to 426 V 273

South West UP 36 to 190 V 66 - tripled here in the week






MIDLANDS



East down 48 to 218 V 143

West down 25 to 329 V 182






NORTH



North East down 73 to 166 V 120

Yorkshire up 12 to 494 V 325


AND

NORTH WEST down 147 to 1605 V 935


Nothing much to note one way or the other here. But at least the last 4 days have been quite flat - which is hopeful as numbers are 1643 - 1755 - 1752 - 1605

The equivalent numbers a week ago were 1025 - 1251 - 781 - 935

Hard to call what this means. If anything.
 
davealvers said:

Chris Hopson hints that they’re younger and staying less time in hospital in this article.
Click to expand...

yea saw something along those lines

if they do unlock on 21st June again it seems pretty clear they are looking at granular data that hasn’t been released for whatever reason.
 
Full GM details:


Total cases 827 - down 105 on Yesterday - which is a big chunk of the NW fall of 147

Wk to wk up 295 of the NW rise of 660 - under the expected 50%.

So GM not rising as fast as some areas in NW are week to week.


BOROUGH / CASES TODAY / V YESTERDAY / V LAST WEEK


BOLTON 120 / DOWN 51 /UP 7

BURY 68/ UP 10 / UP 19

MANCHESTER 193 / DOWN 17 / UP 96

OLDHAM 42 / UP 10 / UP 18

ROCHDALE 45 / DOWN 9 / UP 12

SALFORD 83 / DOWN 39 / UP 24

STOCKPORT 75 / DOWN 27 / UP 19

TAMESIDE 44 / UP 16 / UP 20

TRAFFORD 56 / DOWN 10 / UP 20

WIGAN 101 / UP 12 / UP 60


As you see some pretty huge rises from last week - Manchester and Wigat. But Stockport and Salford had better days. everyone up week to week just mostly by less than before.
 
roubaixtuesday said:
You seem to have fallen into the trap of thinking that the economy will do better if we let COVID rip.
Click to expand...
If the number of deaths don't go up (they aren't at the moment) and neither do the numbers of ICU admissions and there is not much of a rise in hospitalisations then the link betwern infection and death is pretty much broken.
Its looking good at the moment.
Masks and table service will probably have to remain for a while longer but other than that I think the chance of another lockdown is over - we we be into the yearly jab cycle like flu.
 
Last edited:
Greater Manchester

Weekly total cases:-




Tameside 221, Oldham 228, Rochdale 307, Trafford 349, Bury 365, Wigan 501, Stockport 522, Salford 598, Bolton 941, Manchester 1247.



Manchester which is not surprisingly nearly always top scorer given its size is now pulling well clear. Bolton still easily in second but three boroughs in the 500s more than half its numbers when they were a small fraction of them until past 5 days.

We now have to await some sign others can turn things around like Bolton has.

Nobody now left below 200 either when only Manchester and Bolton were over there two weeks ago
 
Healdplace said:
We now have to await some sign others can turn things around like Bolton has.
Click to expand...
I'll be looking out for figures from Glasgow and Bolton over the next week. Some early signs that Glasgow had peaked but it seems to have accelerated again over the last few days. Not a good sign if that starts happening in Bolton etc too.
 
GM Weekly Pop Data after today:~

Borough / Pop Today / 7 days ago / up or down wk to wk/ Testing is % of local population who have tested positive for Covid over past year.

As ever with Pop going up is bad, going down good - the higher the number the better or worse depending on direction moving. The Pop is total cases in past week versus 100,000 POPulation to even out the comparison versus size and expected cases based on numbers living there.




Bolton 327 / 365 / DOWN 38 Testing positive 10.8%

Salford 231 / 113 / UP 118 Testing positive 9.4%

Manchester 225 / 107 / UP 118 Testing positive 10.1%

Bury 191 / 121 / UP 70 Testing positive 9.5%

Stockport 178 / 76 / UP 102 Testing positive 7.5%

Wigan 153 / 80/ UP 73 Testing positive 9.2%

Trafford 147 / 68 / UP 79 Testing positive 7.3

Rochdale 138 / 93 / UP 45 Testing positive 9.9 %

Tameside 98 / 50 / UP 48 Testing positive 8.4

Oldham 96 / 68 / UP 28 Testing positive 10.0%






Bolton crept up slightly again unfortunately. But only by 2 and relative to the rest of GM was down.

Indeed the gap that was 380 just two weeks ago and 240 last week is now BELOW 100 as Salford is only 96 behind.

Manchester close behind and Stockport - though better today - also up just over 100 week to week Pop score wise.

Every one else is going up by what would normally be a lot but is modest in present circumstances. An increase of 40/50 was the old normal. This variant is more easy to spread so over 100 seems the new normal to indicate doing badly.

The best two boroughs in GM swapped places today. But they are neck and neck and both will quite likely be up enough tomorrow to make it a full set of GM boroughs in 3 figure Pop Scores. Not seen since last Winter.
 
Latest Vaccine Update by Population Percentage for 10 GM boroughs

Borough/ First Dose / Both Doses / TODAY V YESTERDAY



BOLTON 72.2% / 48.2% V 71.9% / 47.7%

BURY 71.0% / 50.5% V 70. 4% / 49,8%

MANCHESTER 52.0 / 30.1 % V 51.4% / 29.7%

OLDHAM 66.5% / 45.6% V 66.3% / 45.0%

ROCHDALE 69.9% / 45.2% V 69.5% / 44.9%

SALFORD 58.9 % / 40.0 % V 58.7% / 39.8%

STOCKPORT 74.8% / 53.6% V 74.2% / 52.8%

TAMESIDE 70.7% / 48.6 % V 70.5% / 48.2%

TRAFFORD 72.9% / 50.4% V 72.6% / 49.1%

WIGAN 74.5% / 52.2% V 74.1% / 51.7%

In the big numbers vaccinated today Bury and Trafford joined Wigan and Stockport who have been there a while at having over 50% double jabbed.

Manchester crawled over 30% but a very long way from that 50% as yet. And first jabs miles behind every one else bar Salford.

These two are likely to be top GM scorers soon (they are right behind Bolton rising as Bolton falls) so the reason is obviously the young people catching it right now. But until they are vaccinated that may not change.
 
Status
Not open for further replies.
Unread Posts

Don't have an account? Register now and see fewer ads!

SIGN UP
Back
Top