US Presidential Election, Nov 5th 2024

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Trump actually leads in VA with half the vote counted. I guess the western part of the state is for trump. It should change.
 
A voters' exit poll in Georgia showed that the most important question on their minds was "the economy", more so than democracy or abortion rights. That's a plus for Trump. Probably even more telling, a majority there said they believed federal relief funds for the hurricane had not gone to the people most affected - a sign that the lies he put out have been swallowed.
 
Black&White&BlueMoon Town said:
The early ballots in NC also gave some false hopes which aren't holding up.

She's trailing Biden's #s in Ann Arbor and East Lansing in early results where she should be piling on in those cities/suburbs.

It will likely come down to the Keystone State (PA) as NC and GA aren't looking to flip and hold.
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CNN showed a graph of the number of areas with high volumes of uncounted votes in NC. Lots of democratic areas, whether it will enough or not I think it will get closer.
 
Georgia isn't completely out of play for Harris, a lot of the votes left to count are in Atlanta.
 
AP calls Ohio for Trump.

They are generally calling much earlier than most other outlets, using projection models.

I read through their methodology the other day and it generally seemed sound. But some of their calls with the votes still to be counted (especially from the areas to be counted) seem a little rushed to me.

But they have had a fairly good track record in past cycles, so will trust they aren’t breaking from the modelling framework just to be first.
 
SebastianBlue said:
AP calls Ohio for Trump.

They are generally calling much earlier than most other outlets, using projection models.

I read through their methodology the other day and it generally seemed sound. But some of their calls with the votes still to be counted (especially from the areas to be counted) seem a little rushed to me.

But they have had a fairly good track record in past cycles, so will trust they aren’t breaking from the modelling framework just to be first.
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Just called Texas for Trump, as well.
 
bumbleblue said:
What the fuck is happening. I keep seeing different numbers. In short does Kamala still have a chance?
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Yes.

Trumps won where he was expected to and whilst some early numbers are in his favour, the sheer scale of the US means the vote share can be significantly different depending where you are in a State.

The big calls are yet to come.
 
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