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Ibra
- Thread starter california blue
- Start date
Tishamingo Blue
Member
- Joined
- 23 Jan 2009
- Messages
- 15
minnesota blue said:Blue in France said:Skybets quoting odds of 1/5 that Ibra will join us.
Those are always misleading though, since it's 1/5 **IF** he leaves. With Ibra it's always been, is he actually going to leave Barca?
I've always understood these odds to take into account the "if" element i.e. that the odds are Ibra leaving AND joining Man City are 1/5. The odds are not just a reflection of the likely club he would join.
Using an example to demonstrate the point: early in the summer, Fabregas looked likely to leave to join Barca so the odds were really short. Once it became apparent that Wenger would not let him go, the odds lengthened - but IF he was going to leave it would always be to Barca.
bbrother1968
Well-Known Member
- Joined
- 13 Aug 2009
- Messages
- 61
yes just seen that 1/5 on either it is a mistake or they know something we dont!
KenTheLandlord
Well-Known Member
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- 10 Mar 2009
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- 4,256
Barca are desperate to get him off their books. His wages are a millstone round there necks.
Someone pays him a fat wage, he will go.
He is saying he wants to stay so he can pick up the loyality bonus Eto'o and Ireland want.
Only that reason, hence, the "in the future i would like to play in the PL".
Someone pays him a fat wage, he will go.
He is saying he wants to stay so he can pick up the loyality bonus Eto'o and Ireland want.
Only that reason, hence, the "in the future i would like to play in the PL".
tolmie's hairdoo
Well-Known Member
bbrother said:yes just seen that 1/5 on either it is a mistake or they know something we dont!
Where's Molinuex Blue when you need him, eh ;)
They were not the odds two months ago...
molineuxblue
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- Joined
- 30 May 2007
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- 138
tolmie's hairdoo said:bbrother said:yes just seen that 1/5 on either it is a mistake or they know something we dont!
Where's Molinuex Blue when you need him, eh ;)
They were not the odds two months ago...
He's working from home and is baffled by the price! We haven't seen a bet on this market for ages.
tolmie's hairdoo
Well-Known Member
molineuxblue said:tolmie's hairdoo said:Where's Molinuex Blue when you need him, eh ;)
They were not the odds two months ago...
He's working from home and is baffled by the price! We haven't seen a bet on this market for ages.
Ha Ha - Lay, Lay, Lay.
Rammy Blue
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- Joined
- 23 May 2008
- Messages
- 29,852
tolmie's hairdoo said:molineuxblue said:He's working from home and is baffled by the price! We haven't seen a bet on this market for ages.
Ha Ha - Lay, Lay, Lay.
Somebody somwehere knows something.....
;)
Enjoying being a Blue
Well-Known Member
- Joined
- 13 Aug 2010
- Messages
- 706
Any ideas when La Liga starts their new season?
Blue in France said:minnesota blue said:Those are always misleading though, since it's 1/5 **IF** he leaves. With Ibra it's always been, is he actually going to leave Barca?
I've always understood these odds to take into account the "if" element i.e. that the odds are Ibra leaving AND joining Man City are 1/5. The odds are not just a reflection of the likely club he would join.
Using an example to demonstrate the point: early in the summer, Fabregas looked likely to leave to join Barca so the odds were really short. Once it became apparent that Wenger would not let him go, the odds lengthened - but IF he was going to leave it would always be to Barca.
I'd be much more inclined to believe your theory if they allowed you to bet on players staying with their original teams.