Blue in France said:Skybets quoting odds of 1/5 that Ibra will join us.
Those are always misleading though, since it's 1/5 **IF** he leaves. With Ibra it's always been, is he actually going to leave Barca?
Blue in France said:Skybets quoting odds of 1/5 that Ibra will join us.
minnesota blue said:Blue in France said:Skybets quoting odds of 1/5 that Ibra will join us.
Those are always misleading though, since it's 1/5 **IF** he leaves. With Ibra it's always been, is he actually going to leave Barca?
bbrother said:yes just seen that 1/5 on either it is a mistake or they know something we dont!
tolmie's hairdoo said:bbrother said:yes just seen that 1/5 on either it is a mistake or they know something we dont!
Where's Molinuex Blue when you need him, eh ;)
They were not the odds two months ago...
molineuxblue said:tolmie's hairdoo said:Where's Molinuex Blue when you need him, eh ;)
They were not the odds two months ago...
He's working from home and is baffled by the price! We haven't seen a bet on this market for ages.
tolmie's hairdoo said:molineuxblue said:He's working from home and is baffled by the price! We haven't seen a bet on this market for ages.
Ha Ha - Lay, Lay, Lay.
Blue in France said:minnesota blue said:Those are always misleading though, since it's 1/5 **IF** he leaves. With Ibra it's always been, is he actually going to leave Barca?
I've always understood these odds to take into account the "if" element i.e. that the odds are Ibra leaving AND joining Man City are 1/5. The odds are not just a reflection of the likely club he would join.
Using an example to demonstrate the point: early in the summer, Fabregas looked likely to leave to join Barca so the odds were really short. Once it became apparent that Wenger would not let him go, the odds lengthened - but IF he was going to leave it would always be to Barca.