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29 Games to quadruple
- Thread starter kawkav
- Start date
If you take Betfair's latest odds to be the best indication of the true probabilities (I do).
Then you get winning probabilities of. (and approx. odds)
LC + FA 22.8%..................................7/2
LC only 21.5%..................................7/2
LC + FA + PL 17.2%..........................5/1
LC + PL 16.2%..................................5/1
FA only 4.7%....................................22/1
Nothing 4.2%....................................23/1
FA + PL 3.35%..................................29/1
PL only 3.2%....................................31/1
LC + FA + CL 1.72%.........................57/1
LC + CL 1.67%.................................60/1
LC + FA + PL + CL 1.29%.................76/1
LC + PL + CL 1.23%.........................81/1
PL + CL 0.47%.................................213/1
FA + CL 0.36%...................................298/1
CL only 0.32%..................................315/1
FA + PL + CL 0.25%..........................394/1
Because we are almost nailed on to win the League Cup, the betting is dominated by outcomes including winning that.
If I was having a bet I'd probably go for the domestic treble at 5/1 (best odds available though are BetFred 4/1). The quad at 76/1 would be tempting if available but the best odds now are 35/1 at Ladbrokes
I think I'll save my money for Cheltenham (when we'll be in Barca).
Then you get winning probabilities of. (and approx. odds)
LC + FA 22.8%..................................7/2
LC only 21.5%..................................7/2
LC + FA + PL 17.2%..........................5/1
LC + PL 16.2%..................................5/1
FA only 4.7%....................................22/1
Nothing 4.2%....................................23/1
FA + PL 3.35%..................................29/1
PL only 3.2%....................................31/1
LC + FA + CL 1.72%.........................57/1
LC + CL 1.67%.................................60/1
LC + FA + PL + CL 1.29%.................76/1
LC + PL + CL 1.23%.........................81/1
PL + CL 0.47%.................................213/1
FA + CL 0.36%...................................298/1
CL only 0.32%..................................315/1
FA + PL + CL 0.25%..........................394/1
Because we are almost nailed on to win the League Cup, the betting is dominated by outcomes including winning that.
If I was having a bet I'd probably go for the domestic treble at 5/1 (best odds available though are BetFred 4/1). The quad at 76/1 would be tempting if available but the best odds now are 35/1 at Ladbrokes
I think I'll save my money for Cheltenham (when we'll be in Barca).
jimharri
Moderator
In the same way we were ''nailed on'' to win the FA Cup last May? Don't be so presumptious.M18SK13 said:If you take Betfair's latest odds to be the best indication of the true probabilities (I do).
Then you get winning probabilities of. (and approx. odds)
LC + FA 22.8%..................................7/2
LC only 21.5%..................................7/2
LC + FA + PL 17.2%..........................5/1
LC + PL 16.2%..................................5/1
FA only 4.7%....................................22/1
Nothing 4.2%....................................23/1
FA + PL 3.35%..................................29/1
PL only 3.2%....................................31/1
LC + FA + CL 1.72%.........................57/1
LC + CL 1.67%.................................60/1
LC + FA + PL + CL 1.29%.................76/1
LC + PL + CL 1.23%.........................81/1
PL + CL 0.47%.................................213/1
FA + CL 0.36%...................................298/1
CL only 0.32%..................................315/1
FA + PL + CL 0.25%..........................394/1
Because we are almost nailed on to win the League Cup, the betting is dominated by outcomes including winning that.
If I was having a bet I'd probably go for the domestic treble at 5/1 (best odds available though are BetFred 4/1). The quad at 76/1 would be tempting if available but the best odds now are 35/1 at Ladbrokes
I think I'll save my money for Cheltenham (when we'll be in Barca).
jimharri said:In the same way we were ''nailed on'' to win the FA Cup last May? Don't be so presumptious.M18SK13 said:If you take Betfair's latest odds to be the best indication of the true probabilities (I do).
Then you get winning probabilities of. (and approx. odds)
LC + FA 22.8%..................................7/2
LC only 21.5%..................................7/2
LC + FA + PL 17.2%..........................5/1
LC + PL 16.2%..................................5/1
FA only 4.7%....................................22/1
Nothing 4.2%....................................23/1
FA + PL 3.35%..................................29/1
PL only 3.2%....................................31/1
LC + FA + CL 1.72%.........................57/1
LC + CL 1.67%.................................60/1
LC + FA + PL + CL 1.29%.................76/1
LC + PL + CL 1.23%.........................81/1
PL + CL 0.47%.................................213/1
FA + CL 0.36%...................................298/1
CL only 0.32%..................................315/1
FA + PL + CL 0.25%..........................394/1
Because we are almost nailed on to win the League Cup, the betting is dominated by outcomes including winning that.
If I was having a bet I'd probably go for the domestic treble at 5/1 (best odds available though are BetFred 4/1). The quad at 76/1 would be tempting if available but the best odds now are 35/1 at Ladbrokes
I think I'll save my money for Cheltenham (when we'll be in Barca).
We are five-to-one on to win it. That in my book is near enough nailed on. I am speaking as a relatively successful gambler not a superstitious City fan.
growl
Well-Known Member
Statistically, we have almost the same chance of winning CL as we have of ending up trophy-less. Let's be content with one or two and enjoy the ride. Of course, the Gooners are also on for the treble. But they always bottle it.