NeilYoungIsBack said:Statt0 said:City to get quadruple - 80/1
I had a play around with some numbers a few days back. At this moment in time, given how we are positioned, City's chance of winning the following competitions could be something like:
* League Cup: 60%
* Premier League: 40%
* FA Cup: 10%
* Champions League: 5%
Multiplying all those through, City's chance of a quadruple = 0.12%
Or, expressed another way, a 99.88% chance that we won't win it.
Even if you added 10% to each of those percentages above (i.e. 70%, 50%, 20%, 15%) it's still only a 1% chance !!!
On that basis odds of 80/1 don't seem very attractive TBH.
Nice work -simply re-inforces how improbable this is!