#7 | Raheem Sterling - 2020/21 Performances

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It's funny, because I'd actually say this shows he's not far off. 2 big chances go in across the whole season and he's up there with Son and Vardy and Kane who the anti-Sterling brigade consider to be miles better than him.

Plenty of people have complained that Sterling's not as clinical as Mane in the past.
Not really bothered what other clubs players are doing chance wise.

As an experienced and senior International player missing 2/3rd of easy chances is poor no matter which way you look at it.

But with Sterling, that is only half the problem. Again, being so senior, his ball control and decision maker are really poor
 
No it's literally not.

The whole point of xG is that it's an objective measure of how likely a chance is to be scored based on millions of previous shots by tens of thousands of players with things like the foot you shoot with and opposition pressure, goalkeeper positioning factored in to the better models.

Big chances are based on xG - I think it's above 0.5.

So the one thing it's not is subjective.
The only player worth comparing the chance with is the player taking it, I don't care if Salah, Kane, Messi make it a 50% likely chance because we know Raz will fuck it up. An average probability of 0.5 doesn't mean shit when the guy on the end of the shot is prone to missing them more often.

Much more relevant is what they do with shots they hit the target with, there's no excuses with those chances because they were presentable enough to hit the target with. That's the mark of a finisher.
 
Saw this on reddit -

15 players have missed at least 9 big chances in the Prem. This is how clinical they are with their big chances:

- Che Adams has scored 2 of 14 big chances (14%)

- Chris Wood has scored 3 of 17 (18%)

- Werner has scored 4 of 20 (20%)

- Firmino has scored 4 of 15 (27%)

- Martial has scored 4 of 14 (29%)

- Bamford has scored 7 of 24 (29%)

- Sterling has scored 6 of 18 (33%)

- Mane has scored 6 of 17 (35%)

- Rashford has scored 5 of 14 (36%)

- Watkins has scored 8 of 19 (42%)

- Son has scored 10 of 20 (50%)

- Calvert-Lewin has scored 11 of 22 (50%)

- Salah has scored 11 of 22 (50%)

- Vardy has scored 12 of 24 (50%)

- Kane has scored 10 of 19 (53%)

Penalties are included in big chances.

If you look at for non-penalty big chances the percentages drop for the big penalty takers. For example:

Salah 5 from 16 = 31%
Vardy 6 from 18 = 33%
Kane 7 from 16 = 43%

KDB is 1 from 8 = 12%
 
Only if you wilfully ignore that the best finishers in the world miss 50% of their big chances.

There's a strange sort of blind spot with Raz where whenever people are confronted with statistics which suggest the he isn't as bad as they are making out, they tend to shift the goalposts very quickly. That isn't a dig at @mosssideblue either, just a general observation that he's a player who isn't even afforded the luxury of a fair debate.
 
There's a strange sort of blind spot with Raz where whenever people are confronted with statistics which suggest the he isn't as bad as they are making out, they tend to shift the goalposts very quickly. That isn't a dig at @mosssideblue either, just a general observation that he's a player who isn't even afforded the luxury of a fair debate.
there's "big chances" and then there's "the big chance" which changes games, which Raz is renowned for fucking up, so he gets stick for it because people remember them. I can't remember the last time Kane missed a genuinely, big game, match winning sitter. Raz does it several times a year.
 
No it's literally not.

The whole point of xG is that it's an objective measure of how likely a chance is to be scored based on millions of previous shots by tens of thousands of players with things like the foot you shoot with and opposition pressure, goalkeeper positioning factored in to the better models.

Big chances are based on xG - I think it's above 0.5.

So the one thing it's not is subjective.

100% with you on this Dom.

It's lower than 0.50 about 0.35.
 
There's a strange sort of blind spot with Raz where whenever people are confronted with statistics which suggest the he isn't as bad as they are making out, they tend to shift the goalposts very quickly. That isn't a dig at @mosssideblue either, just a general observation that he's a player who isn't even afforded the luxury of a fair debate.
Sterling plays for us, is on mega money and has been a pro for many years. As said above, not interested in what other teams do, Im wanting the best for us, and I dont think his stats and performances warrant the hype many want to give him
 
there's "big chances" and then there's "the big chance" which changes games, which Raz is renowned for fucking up, so he gets stick for it because people remember them. I can't remember the last time Kane missed a genuinely, big game, match winning sitter. Raz does it several times a year.

In the 62nd minute of Liverpool-Spurs, at 1-1, Harry Kane misses a big chance. Spurs lose the game.

85th minute, Spurs vs Palace, Kane misses a big chance (0.4xG) and Spurs draw.

Tottenham v Fulham, 29th minute, Kane misses a big chance (0.51xG) and Spurs draw.

You don't remember them because you're not a Spurs fan, they don't effect you, but those 3 chances are the difference between Spurs being 7th and 3rd.
 
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