Another new Brexit thread

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It'll be straightforward enough just to blame any economic bad news on Covid I suppose.
I am hoping the virus has died out by December and the economy is in a big upward V.

It's now in Johnson's interest for that not to happen. I'm not jumping to say it's a strategy but (given who's running Johnson) that will be the only way to avoid the economic damage of Brexit being obvious.
 
Whatever they believe there is no point engaging any more. I think they know its heading for a shit show. A massive shit show and it's on them. There is no point debating it now. The detail will come out over the next 6 months and the impact will be undeniable.

But if it goes to shit, it will be remainers who are to blame. Except it won't go to shit because it will be amazing. But remainers are to blame if it does. But it won't. But if it does... Covered either way!
 
I am hoping the virus has died out by December and the economy is in a big upward V.

It's now in Johnson's interest for that not to happen. I'm not jumping to say it's a strategy but (given who's running Johnson) that will be the only way to avoid the economic damage of Brexit being obvious.
It’s a bit more difficult to explain to importers and exporters why Covid means that they will need to fill in loads of additional forms thereby increasing costs, and to explain to manufacturers why Covid has meant that their imported raw materials and components are sat in a lorry park in Kent rather than arriving in time for their production processes.
 
Whatever they believe there is no point engaging any more. I think they know its heading for a shit show. A massive shit show and it's on them. There is no point debating it now. The detail will come out over the next 6 months and the impact will be undeniable.
Something that I have believed for 4 years is:

"We will not see movement from the EU unless and until they are faced with the prospect of a viable walk-away option – and the political will to use it”

And the increasing number of reports like this one reaffirm that view:

https://uk.reuters.com/article/uk-b...-demand-in-brexit-talks-sources-idUKKBN24Z1MF

I find it disappointing that no Remainers have ever been able to 'man-up' and just accept the truth that the EU is not totally omnipotent and the UK needs to concede to their every demand..........

You are (well most of you) UK citizens as well and logically should be wanting to hear news that is in the UK's best interests
 
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I find it disappointing that no Remainers have ever been able to 'man-up' and just accept the truth that the EU is not totally omnipotent and the UK needs to concede to their every demand

You mean like having to adopt the Euro, sign up to Schengen and the Charter of Fundamental Rights...........oh no wait we didn't concede to any of those demands
 
Something that I have believed for 4 years is:

"We will not see movement from the EU unless and until they are faced with the prospect of a viable walk-away option – and the political will to use it”

And the increasing number of reports like this one reaffirm that view:

https://uk.reuters.com/article/uk-b...-demand-in-brexit-talks-sources-idUKKBN24Z1MF

I find it disappointing that no Remainers have ever been able to 'man-up' and just accept the truth that the EU is not totally omnipotent and the UK needs to concede to their every demand..........

You are (well most of you) UK citizens as well and logically should be wanting to hear news that is in the UK's best interests

It's obviously in the UK's best interests to get whatever we can out of the EU but they won't give us what we have now.

How much of that report is just the Brussels equivalent of Twitter remains to be seen. Nice to know you are relying on EU bureaucrats' hints. But am I misreading this?

“The room for compromise lies in something that will let the UK decide on its own since ‘regaining sovereignty’ is such a big Brexit thing,” said a EU diplomat close to the Brexit talks.

“We would reserve the right to decide on any consequences vis-à-vis access to the single market for UK companies as a result.”

So essentially that means we can do a deal that gets you access to the single market and you can even have an independent body that rules on interpretation of a level playing field (which we need because you've shown you can't be trusted to stick to agreements) but if we don't like what you do we can still penalise you.
 
IDS on top form this morning. He doesn’t seem to like the WA, now he’s read it. That’ll be the same one he voted for 8 months ago, that 9 months ago he said 3 days was enough time to read it, debate it and vote on it....
I suppose he’s telling his boss that the oven ready deal he signed, that nobody appears to have read, isn’t as good as him and all his mates were saying it was.
On the positive side, it looks like the double austerity Britain of 2021/22/23/24 will be the fault of the EU and the cunning foreigners running it, for sticking a few things in the document and hoping nobody noticed (which they didn’t).....
 
Something that I have believed for 4 years is:

"We will not see movement from the EU unless and until they are faced with the prospect of a viable walk-away option – and the political will to use it”

And the increasing number of reports like this one reaffirm that view:

https://uk.reuters.com/article/uk-b...-demand-in-brexit-talks-sources-idUKKBN24Z1MF

I find it disappointing that no Remainers have ever been able to 'man-up' and just accept the truth that the EU is not totally omnipotent and the UK needs to concede to their every demand..........

You are (well most of you) UK citizens as well and logically should be wanting to hear news that is in the UK's best interests
It's looking more like a deal will be struck, state aid, LPF, appear sorted, I've said
I believe a FTA will ensue, we wait and see, but the walk away option is certainly helping.
 
Something that I have believed for 4 years is:

"We will not see movement from the EU unless and until they are faced with the prospect of a viable walk-away option – and the political will to use it”

And the increasing number of reports like this one reaffirm that view:

https://uk.reuters.com/article/uk-b...-demand-in-brexit-talks-sources-idUKKBN24Z1MF

I find it disappointing that no Remainers have ever been able to 'man-up' and just accept the truth that the EU is not totally omnipotent and the UK needs to concede to their every demand..........

You are (well most of you) UK citizens as well and logically should be wanting to hear news that is in the UK's best interests
"We will not see movement from the EU unless and until they are faced with the prospect of a viable walk-away option – and the political will to use it”
Do you have some kind of royalty every time you use this phrase? Bloody hell mate, we know thats what you said you must have used it 2,000 times.

I find it disappointing that no Remainers have ever been able to 'man-up' and just accept the truth that the EU is not totally omnipotent and the UK needs to concede to their every demand..........
I, a remainer, accept the truth that the EU is not totally omnipotent and the UK needs to concede to their every demand. There. Feel better?
 
Do you have some kind of royalty every time you use this phrase? Bloody hell mate, we know thats what you said you must have used it 2,000 times.

I, a remainer, accept the truth that the EU is not totally omnipotent and the UK needs to concede to their every demand. There. Feel better?
Imagine the outrage if the EU had told us to dump our preferred provider of a 5G network.
Not that I’m advocating for the Chinese company but being told to do it or there is no trade deal (which there probably won’t be anyway) would suggest a loss if sovereignty, which the sovereignty crusaders don’t seem too bothered about.
 
Re your first point.....

No I do not enjoy a royalty on the phrase and I would point out......

That I only use the phrase when I see further examples of the need to remind Remainers that the EU is not omnipotent and the UK is not some ragtag body that must bow down and accept the EU's every demand. That status is how a good number of Remainers have presented the UK. I will stop using the phrase when Remainers stop doing that - simples

Re your 2nd point - when I make such posts I am not aiming them at you.

Yes - you are a Remainer - but I feel that there is a need for you to accept that, on this forum, you are a somewhat unique Remainer, certainly within a small group, as you demonstrate balance and objectivity. My use of the term 'Remainers' when making posts that bother you normally is accompanied with something like 'Some' or similar.

Therefore I suggest that you are wrong to position yourself as you do in this reply. You frequently jump in with a reply to a post of mine which is aimed at the 'Remain Ultras' who refuse to accept the truth of things.

If I use that term will that satisfy you?

Also - re your 2nd point - I doubt that I have used the phrase 2000 times - but if I have I will likely be a few thousand short of the use of FTZ from Egypt to Greenland that Vic posts. The fact that you have never pulled him up on that in a similar manner, for me, just demonstrates what I see as your inconsistency.

What happens when they face down our walk away option and just let us get on with it? After all ROI have been sorted in part by the WA and beyond that issue it is only France, Holland and Spain out of the 27 that have significant borders and customs operations to deal with. For the rest they will have a smaller budget but not much else to worry about. There is fishing but then fishing is a tiny part of any EU country economy. None of then lose access to anything they have now, they don't have to deal with WTO or set up new regulator regimes etc. It genuinely is not hard for them to let us walk away.

But of course if they do it - it will be there fault that it happened right?
 
Imagine the outrage if the EU had told us to dump our preferred provider of a 5G network.
Not that I’m advocating for the Chinese company but being told to do it or there is no trade deal (which there probably won’t be anyway) would suggest a loss if sovereignty, which the sovereignty crusaders don’t seem too bothered about.
I think that you have maybe got lost

Let me help:

https://forums.bluemoon-mcfc.co.uk/threads/huawei-5g-in-uk.344542/page-12
 
What happens when they face down our walk away option and just let us get on with it? After all ROI have been sorted in part by the WA and beyond that issue it is only France, Holland and Spain out of the 27 that have significant borders and customs operations to deal with. For the rest they will have a smaller budget but not much else to worry about. There is fishing but then fishing is a tiny part of any EU country economy. None of then lose access to anything they have now, they don't have to deal with WTO or set up new regulator regimes etc. It genuinely is not hard for them to let us walk away.

But of course if they do it - it will be there fault that it happened right?
You don't understand much about negotiations do you?

I will make a few points to enlighten you:

1. The EU made no concessions to the UK during the time that the hapless May and Robbins were directing the UK's negotiations - why? - because they did not need to.

The period during which Remainer May was compromising the UK resulted in the undermining of the UK which was set out in the WA she tried to get the UK committed to. So Remainers were/are responsible for the UK being in a worst position in negotiations than we were in 2016

2. Since the change of management and approach the EU have had to adapt their approach and positions. Indeed, they have not faced down the prospect of a walk-away option - they have instead made compromises and accommodations since last winter. Giving up the poisonous unfettered backstop was a major concession - although one that would not have been necessary had we been not previously led by Remainers.

This simple fact should allow even the 'ultra-Remainers' to accept the truth of the benefit that having the No-Deal option has provided to the UK negotiating team and therefore the UK. Strangely, not on here it seems.

3. With the UK having used the threat of No-Deal we have been able to strip some of the bonuses that May gave to the EU and eventually we will get to their real 'red-lines'. And don't simply forget all the bollocks posted by Remainers on here about what those red-lines were/are and how the EU would never move.

Hardly a day goes by without further EU concessions and now it seems the absolutely sacrosanct LPF conditions are not quite so sacrosanct after all - and so on. The UK are not there yet - but at least our stance is forcing the EU to strip away their previously stated red-lines and start heading towards reality. Remainers on here have been so far up Barnier's arse it has been sickening, but when - in pretty short order - Frost takes control and reverses so many of the EU gains there is not a murmur of satisfaction. What is it about positives for the UK that is such an anathema to the Remainers?

4. Should the EU's real red-lines - when we get to them - allow for a deal to be made then that will be good for both sides, but should they still require inappropriate concessions from the UK then the outcome should be a no-deal.

That is just simple because the only thing that May ever got right was that No-Deal is indeed better than a Bad-Deal.
 
You need a heart of stone not to laugh. The man voted for it, said it was an over ready Brexit, voted to stop MPs scrutinising it and now says it is a crock of shite. Should have read Bluemoon mate. I give you Iain Duncan Smith. Take it away Iain.

Whilst the UK wants to have a good trade relationship with the EU as a sovereign state, the EU has different ideas. They want our money and they want to stop us being a competitor. The Withdrawal Agreement (WA) we signed last year sadly helps them.’
 
You don't understand much about negotiations do you?

I will make a few points to enlighten you:

1. The EU made no concessions to the UK during the time that the hapless May and Robbins were directing the UK's negotiations - why? - because they did not need to.

The term in which Remainer May was compromising resulted in the undermining of the UK with with the WA she tried to get the UK committed to. So Remainers were/are responsible for the UK being in a worst position in negotiations than we were in 2016

2. Since the change of management and approach the EU have had to adapt their approach. Indeed, they have not faced down the prospect of a walk-away option - they have instead made compromises and accommodations since last winter. Giving up the poisonous unfettered backstop was a major concession - although one that would not have been necessary had we been not previously led by Remainers.

This simple fact should allow even the 'ultra-Remainers' to accept the truth of the benefit that having the No-Deal option has provided to the UK negotiating team and therefore the UK. Strangely, no on here it seems.

3. With the UK having used the threat of No-Deal we have been able to strip away all the bonuses that May gave to the EU and eventually we will get to their real 'red-lines'. And don't simply forget all the bollocks posted by Remainers on here about what those red-lines were/are and how the EU would never move.

Hardly a day goes by without further EU concessions and now it seems the absolutely sacrosanct LPF conditions are not quite so sacrosanct after all - and so on. The UK are not there yet - but at least the EU are stripping away their previously stated red-lines and heading towards reality. Remainers on here have been so far up Barnier's arse it has been sickening but when - in pretty short order - Frost takes control and reverses so many of the EU gains there is not a murmur of satisfaction. What is it about positives for the UK that is such an anathema to the Remainers?

4. Should the EU's real red-lines - when we get to them - allow for a deal to be made then that will be good for both sides, but should they still require inappropriate concessions from the UK then the outcome should be a no-deal.

That is just simple because the only thing that May ever got right was that No-Deal is indeed better than a Bad-Deal.

Factually wrong and that’s just the first point. EU made a major concession to May by agreeing to the NI backstop. EU felt it gave UK access to the Single Market by the backdoor. They wanted what Johnson gave them. That you are still unable to recognise this is staggering. Even IDS sees the WA for what it is.

And the EU haven’t softened on LPF. They are insisting on LPF. What they softened on was continual dynamic alignment going forward which was a big ask. What they got in return was the UK softening on governance of the future deal which was an EU redline.
 
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