stony said:Statt0 said:Gillespie said:A little harsh there, I think. I don't think he was suggesting you had the title won. He is basically stating the bleeding' obvious which is that City are hot favourites to win the title.
I'd say the relative probabilities are around:
City 60%
Chelsea 25%
Arsenal 10%
Others 5%
If the betting markets are a good barometer of probability the position is not as clear. Converting odds to probability:
City 44%
Chelsea 19%
Arsenal 18%
Liverpool 10%
United 7%
Everton/Others 2%
Chelsea are being seriously overlooked.
And then some.. They've only got us to play away from home out of the top 6 haven't they?
However, I wouldn't put the rags chances at 7% either, so what do I know!