It's not true that we don't have history. One of the historical characteristics of this club is that whatever seems to be the most obvious outcome, will not come to pass.
"Willy Catchit keeps his place in the C1Cup team, and brings off three staggering saves". Anyone see that coming?
"Michael Owen hasn't scored for X number of matches". We're next up and the fart gets a hat-trick. Villa haven't won since the Crimean War, we're next up. Cue an away banker.
A couple of seasons ago I could traipse up to The Etihad and, with a pretty high degree of certainty, forecast the outcome of the game. Not now. I just don't have the faintest idea what is going to happen, or how the players will perform, whether the ref has been recently registered blind, what Pellers will do. The number of variables that will press directly on the result are increasing geometrically!