Champions League Draw Barca 18th Feb (H) & 12th Mar (A)

[Champions2012!]

Re: The round of 16 Champions League (Merged)

Who is this lad they call Rambo anyway?
Is he a match for the Beast?

 

[the plasterer]

Re: The round of 16 Champions League (Merged)

barca for me on the 11/12, only because im fishing on the ebro that week, piss easy for me to get to, and my flight and digs already booked, selfish c##t i am.

 

[jimbo101]

Re: The round of 16 Champions League (Merged)

IT'S THE LAST 16 - NOT THE ROUND OF 16!!

Away leg will be on 11/12 March or 18/19 March.
Get those flights booked!

Barcelona for me - 16 flights a day from Gatwick alone.
Dortmund has only 1 a day from Luton & Stansted & none at all from Manchester, so that'll be tough.

£69 return to Paris on the Eurostar
For us southern Blues it's a dream draw, whoever we get.

southern Blues shouldn't be allowed to exist, yet alone get a ticket to a match.

I take it this is some sort of attempt at humour.

 

[Plaything of the gods]

Re: The round of 16 Champions League (Merged)

Image


Could someone post the link to the site that this came from please. this variation in probability must be to do with the match days, and broadcast rights, ie English teams on different nights, remember the draw 2 seasons ago when we wound up with Dortmund.......

Explanation (????) translated from the site.

The most likely cross 1/ 8 finals would Schalke v Manchester Utd , Bayern Munich v Arsenal , Leverkusen v Chelsea and Manchester City v Bor.Dortmund

explanation:

Suppose instead of 8 crosses were only 4 crosses, invented the following groups -A , B , C and D
- Group A: PSG (1st) and Olympiacos (2nd)
- Group B: Chelsea (1st) and Bayer Leverkusen (2nd)
- Group C: Bayern Munich (1st) and Galatasaray (2nd)
- Group D: Real Madrid (1st) and Manchester City (2nd)

If you limit the draw to prohibit teams from the same group are facing , but it has allowed cross between teams from the same country , have these giveaways possible :
( 1) PSG- LEV, CHE- OLY , BAY- MCI and RMA -GAL
( 2) PSG -LEV , CHE -MCI , BAY- OLY -GAL and RMA
( 3) PSG -MCI , CHE - OLY , BAY- LEV and RMA -GAL
( 4) PSG -GAL , CHE - OLY , BAY- MCI and RMA- LEV
(5) PSG -GAL , CHE -MCI , and RMA BAY- OLY -LEV
(6 ) PSG -MCI , CHE -GAL , and RMA BAY- OLY -LEV
( 7) PSG -LEV , CHE -GAL , BAY- MCI and RMA- OLY
( 8) PSG -GAL , CHE -MCI , BAY- LEV and RMA- OLY
( 9) PSG -MCI , CHE -GAL , BAY- LEV and RMA- OLY

9 possible draws (11.11% each) and each confrontation appears in 3 draws (11.11% x 3 = 33.33 % chance )

But if we add the constraint that no teams from the same country - would eliminate the sweepstakes listed CHE -MCI and cross -LEV - BAY , these drawings are reduced to the following :

( 1) PSG- LEV, CHE- OLY , BAY- MCI and RMA -GAL
( 4) PSG -GAL , CHE - OLY , BAY- MCI and RMA- LEV
(6 ) PSG -MCI , CHE -GAL , and RMA BAY- OLY -LEV
( 7) PSG -LEV , CHE -GAL , BAY- MCI and RMA- OLY

Only these are no longer possible sweepstakes and all appear the same number of times , the Bayern -Manchester City appears in 3 of the 4 possible draws ( 75%), others appear in 2 of 4 ( 50%) and others on 1 April ( 25 % )

Applying this reasoning to the 8 official groups Champions 2013/14 , we went from 40,320 to 3,497 real pure drawings that meet the conditions

http://www.laligaennumeros.es/2013/12/probabilidades-de-cruces-en-octavos-de.html

I think the 1 April was the give away.

 

[Champions2012!]

Re: The round of 16 Champions League (Merged)

<a class="postlink" href="https://twitter.com/UCL_fraude" onclick="window.open(this.href);return false;">https://twitter.com/UCL_fraude</a>

That twitter account is claiming we'll be getting Barca.
They're claiming the draw is rigged.

 

[Plaything of the gods]

Re: The round of 16 Champions League (Merged)

https://twitter.com/UCL_fraude

That twitter account is claiming we'll be getting Barca.
They're claiming the draw is rigged.

Get some money on it!

 

[jrb]

Re: The round of 16 Champions League (Merged)

Anyone.

Is the 1st leg at home?

And what dates are the 2 games?

Thanks.

 

[JoeMercer'sWay]

Re: The round of 16 Champions League (Merged)

Anyone.

Is the 1st leg at home?

And what dates are the 2 games?

Thanks.

Yes.

and there are 4 possible dates for each game.

 

[blinkblue]

Re: The round of 16 Champions League (Merged)

https://twitter.com/UCL_fraude

That twitter account is claiming we'll be getting Barca.
They're claiming the draw is rigged.

He just posts loads of scores and then deletes the incorrect ones. Easily done.

 

[jrb]

Re: The round of 16 Champions League (Merged)

Anyone.

Is the 1st leg at home?

And what dates are the 2 games?

Thanks.

Yes.

and there are 4 possible dates for each game.

Thanks.

So it's just a case of waiting by the PC, and then booking a flight as soon as the dates are announced.