I certainly wouldn’t take any prediction I make as gospel, I just have access to a bit more information than others. And of course I don’t have the pedigree of some of our seasoned seat counters!
The difficulty with this game is not knowing how many tickets have been sold, if people have used their codes and of course people who may have passed theirs on. We’re asking the club if they are aware on how sales are going.
I originally thought that this would sell out to those towards the bottom of seasoncard holders not on the cup scheme. Given the number of codes requested and the criteria, but also the additional OSC tickets and that some who got their tickets from a supporter club may have also requested a code, I would probably revise that to say around or just below 10,000 points and not on the scheme.
It’s fair to say that the number of requests from those not on the scheme, was a fair amount below those on the scheme. That may reflect the point that you mentioned before about the FA Cup Final, that not a lot of people on higher points aren’t on the cup schemes.