You touch on an interesting point about the treatment of locals. Not everyone in Portugal is happy that they are hosting the game, not least their own football fans who have had altercations with police. At a time when Portuguese fans are being told that they can only have 10% capacity in the grounds, their government will have a very hard time justifying an exception that allows 12,000 people to travel from another country, swan around on the piss for a few days and go to a game. They are elected officials after all.
The announcement last night of the bubble system was to assuage Portuguese voters. Even if Portugal is open for tourism that weekend, stadium restrictions of 10% would still apply to domestic football. The bubble system is about letting so many people into the ground as an exception to the 10% rule and not impacted by general tourism. I therefore fancy that UEFA's mob who don't have to quarantine will make up the ordinary 10%, meaning that capacity on the night will be somewhere around 17,000.
