Champions League - Qualification close

[Bill]

Chelsea are 5th and have 46 points from 27 games. That would make 65 over 38 games and we have 66 points already so we're very close to fulfilling a key objective of the season.

46 points plus a possible 33 points from 11 fixtures gives a maximum of 79 points
Wer'e only giving Chelsea 2 points for a win because of AVB dress sense. Not seen a coat like that since 1960.

i have a coat just like it, me mam bought it in the mid 50's and from 1961 onwards it was our eiderdown at night and her bingo coat every other tuesday.

 

[ancoats]

its a safe bet that we finnish no lower than 2nd with utd the other club

chelsea arsenal spurs are fighting for the 2 other places meaning the 3 clubs will lose some points over the rest of the 11 games

but you just never know and should 1 of the 3 win all the 11 games then they could be close but we have the points on board and its hard to catch up with the point gap we have

its the run in with city that will see chelsea arsenal in a champions league spot
and also see us winning the league

 

[Balti]

we are handily placed in 4th in the fair play league if we need it.....

 

[moomba]

I work on the "magic number" system, thats any combination of points won by us, or points lost by our opponents that will guarantee we finish above them.

So a win against the rags will see the magic number drop by 6 points, 3 for our win and 3 for the 3 points they drop. When the magic number is 0 we're guaranteed to finish ahead of them.

Our magic numbers so far are:
United 32, Spurs 21, Arsenal 17, Chelsea 14, Newcastle 12, Liverpool 10, Everton 5, Fulham 4, Stoke 4, West Brom 3, Norwich 3, Sunderland 2, Swansea 1

The rest we're already guaranteed to finish ahead of.

 

[Oystercatcher28]

we are handily placed in 4th in the fair play league if we need it.....

Really? That said, it feels like we are not doing well with cards, but that's just one or two harsh seasonal moments. good to see attacking football favours us

 

[Matty]

I work on the "magic number" system, thats any combination of points won by us, or points lost by our opponents that will guarantee we finish above them.

So a win against the rags will see the magic number drop by 6 points, 3 for our win and 3 for the 3 points they drop. When the magic number is 0 we're guaranteed to finish ahead of them.

Our magic numbers so far are:
United 32, Spurs 21, Arsenal 17, Chelsea 14, Newcastle 12, Liverpool 10, Everton 5, Fulham 4, Stoke 4, West Brom 3, Norwich 3, Sunderland 2, Swansea 1

The rest we're already guaranteed to finish ahead of.

We're probably already guaranteed to finish ahead of some of those listed as well, although we don't know which ones yet. By that I mean, lets say Swansea and Sunderland still have to play each other, clearly both can't get 3 points so we're already guaranteed to finish ahead of Swansea OR Sunderland, we're just not sure which.

 

[Carver]

At the moment we're currently ranked 31st with a coefficient of 61.457

Olympic Marseille were ranked 24th to be the 16th team with the lowest coefficient in pot 2 with 68.735. We're probably going to need around the same to get into pot 2. Progress to the semi finals may be enough to get into pot 2 next season (or 2 wins against Lisbon and a draw in the quarter finals).

 

[Marvin]

At the moment we're currently ranked 31st with a coefficient of 61.457

Olympic Marseille were ranked 24th to be the 16th team with the lowest coefficient in pot 2 with 68.735. We're probably going to need around the same to get into pot 2. Progress to the semi finals may be enough to get into pot 2 next season (or 2 wins against Lisbon and a draw in the quarter finals).

UEFA Europa League points system
First qualifying round elimination – 0.25 points
Second qualifying round elimination – 0.5 points
Third qualifying round elimination – 1 point
Play-off elimination – 1.5 points
Group stage win – 2 points
Group stage draw – 1 point
Since 2009/10, clubs have been guaranteed a minimum of two points if they reach the group stage and are awarded an additional point if they get to the quarter-finals, semi-finals or final.
Can't see us getting above Spurs who are 27th. Other than a share of the Association % is there any way of earning more than 3 points by getting to the final? Therefore only way to get to Pot 2 is to hope that there are enough high ranked teams who fail to qualify?

 

[moomba]

You get two points for a win, one for a draw right through the competition. Forget the link above, for some reason it isn't correct. Look at Porto's points from last year (competition winners) and you can work out exactly where their points come from.

Wins home and away against Lisbon will see us level with Spurs.

 

[berryblue]

At the moment we're currently ranked 31st with a coefficient of 61.457

Olympic Marseille were ranked 24th to be the 16th team with the lowest coefficient in pot 2 with 68.735. We're probably going to need around the same to get into pot 2. Progress to the semi finals may be enough to get into pot 2 next season (or 2 wins against Lisbon and a draw in the quarter finals).

Points are calculated over the past 5 seasons. If Teams are to loose year 1 points then add the recent years points,will that make a difference?