Coronavirus (2021) thread

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Healdplace said:
Bolton down a lot (94) day to day to 'just' 186.

But - a very BIG but -

Gov UK have from today announced they are changing the way cases are allocated as so many are having to be removed after lateral flow tests later prove negative.

This is why we got all those negative numbers a few days ago.

They are now removing them daily but ONLY in national numbers and not in day to day case numbers that will now not really reflect at all what number there was that day.

They advise that both regional and local numbers I post here are now a bit meaningless and suggest we use the 5 day old finalised data instead.

The ones that made them miss what was happening in Bolton and now Bury.

I can hear the conspiracy theorists sharpening pencils already! And I am wondering if it is worth posting data they have rendered misleading.

Or if they really want to get over this pandemic as this looks a pretty stupid move.

At least my publisher will be happy if it means I get on with that book I am writing instead of posting here all day.
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I'm not surprised people are sceptical. For a government supposedly handling the biggest crisis since world war two they are a bit Laurel and Hardy about it at times. Also everone knows figures can be manipulated to paint a different picture.
 
Okay summary of today. Whatever reality the figures portray.

North West is still the highest region but DOWN a lot from yesterday - by 146 to 540. That is up 140 week to week though.

Still approaching 200 ahead of every other region - London and Yorkshire the closest still in the 300s and not up big like NW has become.

Those two regions both rose today by 50 or so as did the South East. Which shows you how far ahead the NW was yesterday. NW was one of few falls today and by far the most - perhaps meaning lateral flow tests that are misleadingly positive are more common here.

Greater Manchester had 367 of those NW 540 - which at 67.9% of the NW total is a smallish fall day to day but still very high.

Week to week GM is up by 105 of the NW week to week rise of 140. So by far the most of it.

Bolton rises most - up 51 wk to wk to 186 - but that is a small rise by recent standards and the daily number is 94 down on yesterday so the main reason NW numbers fell today.


Manchester back to more normal numbers on 41 but up 17 week to week still.

Wigan also a concern with its highest number in a while only 10 behind Manchester.

Trafford, Bury and Rochdale also in th 20s. So there is certainly a spread of increases around GM.

Only 3 boroughs below 19 today - all in single figures. Stockport and Tameside who were the only two boroughs down week to week and Oldham who were still up on last week but not by much.

All in all not a great day for GM and still the main reason the NW is the biggest problem in England right now.

Oh and Bolton's Pop rise of 65 today added to all the big ones in past 2 weeks means that if it does not do better tomorrow it will become the first borough in GM to join the TEN thousand club as it currently sits on 9935.
 
Hospital data in England also not encouraging. Though still small numbers.

Admissions up again to 93 - though that is exactly the same as last week.

The NW added 18 of these - versus 19 of yesterdays 90.

Patient in hospital across all regions numbers rose again by 17 on the day. It is not yet at the point of being up week to week but it is getting close and only down by 52.

Ventilators rose again too as they have started doing most days unfortunately. Again only by 2 but this number IS now up week to week. For the first time since January.

The only tiny bit of good news is that NW ventilators stayed on 20 AND was one of only two regions where patients FELL day to day (the other being the East). Admittedly it was just by 2. But it was a fall. Though it is up 2 week to week.

So numbers are flattish not dramatically accelerating. But they are definitely no longer falling.
 
splinter said:
Latest daily figures..Just under 700,000 vaccinations
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And the really good news is that we're over 250k 1st doses for the first time since March.

Keep that up for a few weeks and it's enough to put a significant dent in transmission ahead of June 21st.

So much is uncertain, but that we do know.
 
Healdplace said:
They had a live link from it on TV this morning. It is only about a third full. They are only going to UK destinations. Cannot even land in France. That travel guru guy - Simon Calder - who is on everything was aboard and said they are barely travelling 20 miles in a day. And blowing a gale!
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It's not even close to 1/3 full.

The capacity of that ship is 6300, and cruises are limited to 1000 passengers until at least June 21st.

Can see why people would think a cruise floating in UK waters is far from appealing (especially in this bloody weather) but cruises attract very loyal clients and there will be plenty who just want to be on a ship again, regardless of where it goes.

It's a brand spanking new ship, so quite a unique time to be on board in many respects. No chance Calder was missing out on his freebie, the prick.
 
feedthegoat27 said:
It's not even close to 1/3 full.

The capacity of that ship is 6300, and cruises are limited to 1000 passengers until at least June 21st.

Can see why people would think a cruise floating in UK waters is far from appealing (especially in this bloody weather) but cruises attract very loyal clients and there will be plenty who just want to be on a ship again, regardless of where it goes.

It's a brand spanking new ship, so quite a unique time to be on board in many respects. No chance Calder was missing out on his freebie, the prick.
Click to expand...
Haha last sentence
 
Was too busy to post earlier the N Ireland data. Here it is:-

0 deaths - was 0 last week

84 cases - was 96 last week

3.6% positivity - was 4% last week

4 Care home outbreaks - same as yesterday & last week

597 rolling 7 day cases - was 598 yesterday & 676 last week

34 patients - down 3 on yesterday & 18 on last week

2 ventilated - same as yesterday & down 1 on last week

The age range of those testing positive:-

0 - 19 (208) 34.8%

20 - 39 (238) 39.9%

40 - 59 (122) 20.4%

60 - 79 (22) 3.7%

80 PLUS (7) 1.2%

These numbers seem to get better every time I check them.

74.7% (three quarters) under 40.

4.9% (under one in 20) over 60.

This can only be the vaccines that have totally flipped this age ratio around since January

And is why deaths are now so low.
 
I just saw on Granada reports earlier that vaccination centres are opening up in high infection areas in Manchester for over 18's.
 
HOSPITAL DATA



Summary:

UK patients and ventilators are starting to gradually rise in England BUT outside of England the other nations were down slightly on both measures and enough to make the patient rise only 13 and ventilators fall by 1.

Indeed the big news is Wales have just 41 patients and just ONE on a ventilator.

NW patients edging up week to week and but today there was a small fall of 2 in patients and no rise in ventilators - though both are up week to week by tiny numbers. But most other regions rose today - London being the biggest problem today up on both - so for once the NW was not why patient numbers rose.

We have three days off from data and will see where we go next week. Could go either way.


UK total:




Patients UP 13 to 923 - it was 39, 248 at the peak on 18 Jan - (fall of 38, 325 in 123 days) :- lowest since 14 September

Ventilators DOWN 1 to 124 it was 4077 at the peak on 24 Jan - (fall of 3953 in 117 days) : lowest since 17 September


England only:-


ADMISSIONS:-

93 Covid admissions following 90, 74, 59, 70, 73, 74, 93 in the week before.

Covid admission numbers in England still under 100 consistently. But there are small signs of a move upward.




PATIENTS:-

Patients UP 17 to 766 v 818 last week :- lowest since 14 September But lowest wk to wk gap in oinths

Peak was 34, 336 on 18 Jan (fall 33, 570 in 123 days)

Ventilators: UP 2 to 117 v 115 last week :- lowest since 17 September. First wk to wk rise in months.

Peak was 3736 on 24 Jan (fall 3619 in 117 days)



Regions:


Patient // Ventilators // change in past day to today and v last week


East down 4 to 40 v 60 // Stays at 3 v 4

London UP 6 to 254 v 251 // UP 4 to 49 v 53

Midlands UP 7 to 144 v 155 // Down 1 to 14 v 18

NE & Yorks UP 3 to 107 v 129 // Down 1 to 19 v 19

North West down 2 to 153 v 151// Stays at 20 v 14

South East UP 4 to 50 v 54 // Stays at 6 v 7

South West UP 3 to 18 v 18 // Stays at 2 v 2
 
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