Coronavirus (2021) thread

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The date on the calculator continues to fall slightly (moved 3 days closer in the last week into March for me) obviously it's only an indication however whoever has set the parameters doesn't see any issues with supply.


Presumably it takes an average of vaccinations over the last week (or similar) and uses that to predict how far it takes. A very simple model.

I don't think they would know about any potential shortages, and probably wouldn't know how to build that factor into it.
 
That’s probably true, but I think maybe the pfizer supplies will be held back in case it’s more than 2 weeks, to make sure there is enough for second jabs that will be meeded in increasing numbers the next 2 -4 weeks as nearly all the December early January first doses were Pfizer and the 12 weeks will be up for them over the next few weeks.
The postponement of second jabs started the second week of January. Wife had hers around the 6th but my daughter had hers cancelled for the 13th. I'd imagine she'll be in one of first roll out groups, unless of course they increase the amount above what they're administering at the moment. I think she said her work recently had a reminder for sometime in March.
 
Presumably it takes an average of vaccinations over the last week (or similar) and uses that to predict how far it takes. A very simple model.

I don't think they would know about any potential shortages, and probably wouldn't know how to build that factor into it.
Yeah maybe a fair point.
 
The not receiving a vaccine within 28 days of a positive Covid test isn't advice but policy for everyone by the way. It's one of the questions I was asked when I had my first shot on Monday.
Ah really? Didn’t realise that! The consultant advised dad not to have it to give him time to recover as he had “Covid Lung”, same as me. But makes sense to avoid the vaccine until fully recovered regardless of how it impacted you. Cheers.
 
Hope this variant In moston and harpurhey doesn't spread elsewhere
 
The postponement of second jabs started the second week of January. Wife had hers around the 6th but my daughter had hers cancelled for the 13th. I'd imagine she'll be in one of first roll out groups, unless of course they increase the amount above what they're administering at the moment. I think she said her work recently had a reminder for sometime in March.
My daughter got her first just before Christmas and had her second cancelled when she got back after New year, her second is now booked for 1st March. So about the same .
 
My daughter got her first just before Christmas and had her second cancelled when she got back after New year, her second is now booked for 1st March. So about the same .
It'll be interesting to see how this pans out. At the beginning they were doing thousands of jabs per day. Now it's hundreds of thousands so at some point they'll have to be doing that same amount for seconds in a day whilst still administering firsts.
750-800k per day.
 
Hope this variant In moston and harpurhey doesn't spread elsewhere
I think it's OK whilst we're in lockdown but in future this is where the risk is and we should therefore be putting a lot of resources into isolating and tracing these cases. I would like to know what the fraction is nationwide. We do sampling. We should be able to get a good idea.
 
It'll be interesting to see how this pans out. At the beginning they were doing thousands of jabs per day. Now it's hundreds of thousands so at some point they'll have to be doing that same amount for seconds in a day whilst still administering firsts.
750-800k per day.
I know in my local area the plan is to open up another large hall for groups 5-9, slightly out of town but younger people can easily get to it. As far as I know the current vaccine centres will stay open presumable giving second doses to 1-4
I presume when Pfizer gets back on line and think the Moderna are due in a month or so, as long as they have the people to vaccinate and the vaccines there is no reason they can’t keep up the pace of first doses while doing the second doses for the first groups.
 
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