Coronavirus (2021) thread

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Eds said:
Do we have some sort of rationale as to why Yorkshire is so high in comparison to other areas. Still has the highest infections per 1,000 and is the only area I think now above 100 cases per 100,000. Apologies if I have missed any reasoning previously.
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I think Yorkshire avoided the worst of the waves earlier, compared to the South East and North West, and is seeing the latest more virulent strain now.

Healdplace gave some good analysis along those lines a day or so ago.

Living in Sheffield, compliance with rules seems good, hospitalisation and deaths thankfully low now. Of course, there's still a lot of industry where distancing and masks not practical, and a lot of housing of multiple occupancy where the virus can spread.
 
Eds said:
Do we have some sort of rationale as to why Yorkshire is so high in comparison to other areas. Still has the highest infections per 1,000 and is the only area I think now above 100 cases per 100,000. Apologies if I have missed any reasoning previously.
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Less people in these areas are following the rules than in other areas. Or they are just doing more testing in these areas, which seems unlikely?
 
unicorn said:
I think Yorkshire avoided the worst of the waves earlier, compared to the South East and North West, and is seeing the latest more virulent strain now.

Healdplace gave some good analysis along those lines a day or so ago.

Living in Sheffield, compliance with rules seems good, hospitalisation and deaths thankfully low now. Of course, there's still a lot of industry where distancing and masks not practical, and a lot of housing of multiple occupancy where the virus can spread.
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Will look for the recent analysis, thanks
 
As I have noted before on Yorkshire I think the reason is that it avoided the Kent variant longer than every other region.

It was running very low on this at Christmas but has taken off since.

The details are in here from 3 or 4 months ago but at one point they were in single figures pre Christmas whereas NW rose up to about 30% in a week or two. London and the South had already gone through the roof by then.

Getting that amidst the vaccination programme rather than before it as impacted the southern regions and the midlands and north west was good news as it means Yorkshire did not escalate as badly as those other regions did before the vaccine roll out to dull the worst impact.

So they are imo just the last ones to see this more infective variant driving up numbers and are already well on the way down from there. Just trailing a little on the last one in last one out principle.
 
The factory argument might well have contributed too - though are there really more there than in Lancashire?

The delay in the increase versus the other reasons seems to be harder to tie into factory working than the spread of a new variant that the testing in Yorkshire clearly showed was lowest there for longest. And which we know has been driving big rises in cases wherever in the world it becomes dominant.
 
GM today is up by 71 from the unfeasibly low number yesterday to 352 which is down 50 wk to wk from 402 last Monday.

This readjusts the huge rise in % of NW score yesterday that I knew looked off.

That has fallen today from the very wrong looking 62.1% yesterday to just 55.9% today. Much as it was in previous days. So looking more 'right'.

Most places in GM are down week to week and will see Pop Score falls as a result.

A very good day for Bury. Low scoring on just 12. And now with the lowest weekly cases total in GM after taking over from Trafford yesterday.

Trafford at the other extreme was at 30 well up on the 7 it had last week. So its Pop Score will escalate.

Stockport - though up day to day like most places - is down week to week on 27. So actually for the second day running had a lower case score than and took a chunk out of the huge lead in overall Pop Score that Trafford had built on Stockport,

Oldham apart from Trafford was the only other borough to go up week to week today so will see its all important weekly Pop score rise instead of fall.

All other boroughs had a pretty good day with Manchester highest on 80 - a score it has had three times in the last 7 days with others 78 and 82 - so as you can see flat as a pancake!

Everyone else was between Rochdale on 22 and Bolton on 48.
 
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