Coronavirus (2021) thread

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Healdplace said:
HOSPITAL DATA


A modest fall for Friday of well under 100 patients today. Admissions too seem to not be falling any more. But UK now below 2800 patients in hospital with Covid when it was nearly 40,000 in January. Ventilators sub 400 in England but not quite yet in UK. With dates when numbers were lower slipping back regularly in early October. A rise in ventilators in the North West and patients in the East were the biggest blips. But nothing yet too worrying and it will be harder with numbers so low to see great changes day to day. Next few days will tell us a lot about whether we are stalling or still falling.
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Thanks for the invaluable data and observation, @Healdplace

You've rightly been noting the relatively high case rates in Yorkshire for a while. Their big cities dominate the table of Local Authorities with the highest Covid rates;

covid 9 apl.PNG

But focus on hospitalisation and deaths and it looks less concerning. I just used the Government site https://coronavirus.data.gov.uk/ to compare the latest day's hospital data (not necessarily the most up-to-date) in my part of Sheffield, a friend's bit of Leeds and my old home in Cambridge;

In Sheffield there were zero deaths and just two hospital admissions,
in Leeds two deaths and just three hospital admissions,
and in Cambridge zero deaths and just two hospital admissions.

My mum worries I've moved to a hotbed of Covid ! But in my postcode (c.10k people) we had only four cases in the last week, and numbers are plummeting despite the schools reopening.

All of that looks good news in terms of control of the virus and easing of pressure on the NHS.
 
unicorn said:
Thanks for the invaluable data and observation, @Healdplace

You've rightly been noting the relatively high case rates in Yorkshire for a while. Their big cities dominate the table of Local Authorities with the highest Covid rates;

View attachment 13966

But focus on hospitalisation and deaths and it looks less concerning. I just used the Government site https://coronavirus.data.gov.uk/ to compare the latest day's hospital data (not necessarily the most up-to-date) in my part of Sheffield, a friend's bit of Leeds and my old home in Cambridge;

In Sheffield there were zero deaths and just two hospital admissions,
in Leeds two deaths and just three hospital admissions,
and in Cambridge zero deaths and just two hospital admissions.

My mum worries I've moved to a hotbed of Covid ! But in my postcode (c.10k people) we had only four cases in the last week, and numbers are plummeting despite the schools reopening.

All of that looks good news in terms of control of the virus and easing of pressure on the NHS.
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Thank you and I agree with that. The big metro areas - Yorkshire and North West and West Midlands - will always be epicentres of any outbreak simply by fulfilling the perfect conditions for spread.

But it is all relative. The hospital numbers for Yorkshire have fallen in much the same way as every other region.

Here are patient/ventilator numbers for Yorkshire and North West every Friday back over the past 6 weeks.

As you will see they are very much tracking one another on the same downward path.



Yorkshire

Patients 1800 v 1380 v 1049 v 776 v 625 v 502 v 429

Ventilators 231 v 202 v 141 v 94 v 88 v 65 v 61



North West

Patients 1724 v 1311 x 1040 v 819 v 678 v 512 v 422

Ventilators 225 v 159 v 128 v 90 v 79 v 64 v 56


The fall has noticeably slowed in the past couple of weeks but partly that is because when numbers are this low the same percentage fall is a much smaller number.

Both are now around a quarter of the number they were those six weeks ago.

That is a very good pathway.
 
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Europe seems to be getting its vaccination act together. Germany vaccinating at 650k per day now.
 
Marvin said:
Europe seems to be getting its vaccination act together. Germany vaccinating at 650k per day now.
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Yeah, most of Europe is getting its vac game together, French 7 day average roll out is 400k per day, Italy should hit 300k per day this week. Allowing GP’s to handle vaccinations has been key in Germany, the issue holding things up was as much logistical as it was supply.

FT reporting AZ supply issues, with 2.6m doses due to be sent to Europe next week halved, reasons unclear. Q2 supply is less reliant on AZ then Q1 so it shouldn’t impact European rollout.
 
Wales data:

0 deaths - was 2 last week

130 cases - was 95 last week

0.8% positivity - was 0.9% last week
 
Wales vaccination data

1, 556, 316 first dose - 19, 194 today - was 17, 362 yesterday & 11, 763 last week

509, 478 second doses - 11, 160 today - was 13, 579 yesterday & 3668 last week

Big improvement on Easter weekend.


More updates later after the match.
 
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