Coronavirus (2021) thread

Status
Not open for further replies.
I have a question.

The government figures always start with...

Deaths within 28 days of a positive test.

Does this really mean they all died of covid or other causes but they also had covid?

Figures might be a bit inflated if someone tested positive and then was run over. They would count wouldn't they?

Confused myself probably.
The way England had it before, anyone who had a +ve Covid test would die from it (eventually). The 28 day is pretty much a defacto standard across the world though it should probably be 56 days. The vast majority who are going to die die within 21 days if a positive test.
 
GM Weekly Pop Scores after today:~

Borough / Score Today / Score 7 days ago / up or down wk to wk/ Testing is % of local population who have tested positive for Covid over past year.

As ever with Pop scores going up is bad, going down good - the higher the number the better or worse depending on direction moving. The Pop Score is total cases in past week versus 100,000 POPulation to even out the comparison versus size and expected cases based on numbers living there.



Oldham 49 / 92 Down 43 Testing positive 9.6%

Rochdale 49 / 88 / Down 39 Testing positive 9.5%

Bolton 45 / 94 / Down 49 Testing positive 9.0%

Manchester 39 / 86 / Down 47 Testing positive 9.5%

Wigan 31 / 70/ Down 39 Testing positive 8.8%

Tameside 29 / 86 / Down 57 Testing positive 8.0%

Stockport 26 / 57 / Down 31 Testing positive 7.1%

Bury 24 / 60 / Down 36 Testing positive 9.0%

Salford 22 / 74 / Down 52 Testing positive 8.9%

Trafford 21 / 66 / Down 45 Testing positive 6.9%



This series of across the board huge falls will not really impact the next few days but next Friday will be fun! As pretty obviously you cannot do well versus MINUS 20 cases - as the lowest it is possible to get is 0. So there will be a readjustment of weekly pop scores in the opposite direction then across the board come what may.

For the time being just enjoy these amazingly low numbers as they probably will not last beyond then, The best to hope for is they do not rise next week by as much as they fell today. A very realistic possibility.

The order did not change much as the minuses were evenly spread. But Trafford got the best of it to regain top.



Weekly cases:- Quite a scrap for lowest cases in the week brewing over emphasised by todays huge falls. But this will be a less useful measure for a few days as it will gradually readjust day by day when 'real numbers come in to dilute the exaggeration of the negative numbers. By next Friday we will start to see the real weekly totals restored without this artificial reduction that is not inaccurate but is created instantly not as it ought to have been by 4 weeks of deducted data spread over just one week.

Bury 46 Trafford 49 Salford 56 Tameside 65 Stockport 76 Wigan 101 Rochdale 104 Oldham 116 Bolton 128 and Manchester 209
 
Stands to reason, contribution of the spike protein vector to the overall structure of the drug substance is small and so logic says it's adenovirus related.
The Sputnik first vaccine will have the same problem too. The 2nd vaccine dose for that uses a different viral vector, so we'll see how that goes.
 
Status
Not open for further replies.

Don't have an account? Register now and see fewer ads!

SIGN UP
Back
Top
  AdBlock Detected
Bluemoon relies on advertising to pay our hosting fees. Please support the site by disabling your ad blocking software to help keep the forum sustainable. Thanks.