Healdplace
Well-Known Member
- Joined
- 12 May 2013
- Messages
- 15,985
ONS data is great today - showing England infections fall massively to one in 1010 in England in past 7 days. From 1 in 610 last week.
You are using an out of date browser. It may not display this or other websites correctly.
You should upgrade or use an alternative browser.
You should upgrade or use an alternative browser.
Coronavirus (2021) thread
- Thread starter Ric
- Start date
- Status
- Not open for further replies.
Healdplace
Well-Known Member
- Joined
- 12 May 2013
- Messages
- 15,985
Zoe App data:
Predicted cases down 89 on yesterday to new low of 856 for the UK.
Symptomatic cases down 602 on yesterday to 16, 523 - this is the lowest number Zoe has ever registered.
The map now also shows that the three 'worst' areas are all in the north - Scotland. Yorkshire and North West, the Midlands has fallen well back and the South is in many cases almost Covid free.
One would hope this wave is receding northwards and those areas will fall. As the NW has one of the lowest R numbers (0.8).
Chorley is currently the area in the NW with the highest infectivity level being reported via symptoms.
In Greater Manchester the good news is the high flying areas like Bolton have come right down.
The slightly less good news is that what is currently top of the tree in GM pop scores - Stockport - has risen in past few days in the Zoe data to around 250 per million versus 180 or so last week. Though that is not a high number and where most of GM was a couple of weeks ago. Chorley is four or five times that level.
AS Zoe is often a few days ahead that might mean Stockport's daily run of single figure case numbers that has seen them fall lower and lower and make up ground on Trafford in the overall Pop Score numbers could be halted.
Be interesting to see if Zoe really can predict like this as right now that seems improbable from current data on the ground in GM.
Predicted cases down 89 on yesterday to new low of 856 for the UK.
Symptomatic cases down 602 on yesterday to 16, 523 - this is the lowest number Zoe has ever registered.
The map now also shows that the three 'worst' areas are all in the north - Scotland. Yorkshire and North West, the Midlands has fallen well back and the South is in many cases almost Covid free.
One would hope this wave is receding northwards and those areas will fall. As the NW has one of the lowest R numbers (0.8).
Chorley is currently the area in the NW with the highest infectivity level being reported via symptoms.
In Greater Manchester the good news is the high flying areas like Bolton have come right down.
The slightly less good news is that what is currently top of the tree in GM pop scores - Stockport - has risen in past few days in the Zoe data to around 250 per million versus 180 or so last week. Though that is not a high number and where most of GM was a couple of weeks ago. Chorley is four or five times that level.
AS Zoe is often a few days ahead that might mean Stockport's daily run of single figure case numbers that has seen them fall lower and lower and make up ground on Trafford in the overall Pop Score numbers could be halted.
Be interesting to see if Zoe really can predict like this as right now that seems improbable from current data on the ground in GM.
Healdplace
Well-Known Member
- Joined
- 12 May 2013
- Messages
- 15,985
Lots of speculation on line that Boris is to make a major announcement in a press briefing on Monday.
It is election week so I guess it will not be bad news whatever it is.
Probably travel related would be my guess. As May kicks off the season. If this is more than idle chatter or guesswork.
The data is looking really good. Those antibody numbers yesterday showing the levels are rising week by week and being already in the higher 90's% for the over 70s and increasing in percentage the higher the age bracket (so chance of having had the vaccine) suggests the vaccines are at least a major factor in helping - if not driving - this high degree of protection.
It is election week so I guess it will not be bad news whatever it is.
Probably travel related would be my guess. As May kicks off the season. If this is more than idle chatter or guesswork.
The data is looking really good. Those antibody numbers yesterday showing the levels are rising week by week and being already in the higher 90's% for the over 70s and increasing in percentage the higher the age bracket (so chance of having had the vaccine) suggests the vaccines are at least a major factor in helping - if not driving - this high degree of protection.
grunge
Well-Known Member
There is a study ongoing into this as the likelihood is those who had two doses of one vaccine and need a booster in the autumn (as all over 60s probably will) may then be given a different kind to their previous two on purpose.
I started following one of the vaccine scientists working on the moderna vaccine ( or so im lead to believe ) and they were saying there is currently no need to any boosters. even though the virus variants are forming some more avoidance of antibodies there is no change on Tcell immunity.
https://twitter.com/sailorrooscout well worth a follow
roubaixtuesday
Well-Known Member
- Joined
- 14 Dec 2019
- Messages
- 4,472
- Team supported
- City
Lots of speculation on line that Boris is to make a major announcement in a press briefing on Monday
International travel announcement is due, would guess that.
I can't watch Johnson press conferences, bad for my health. My last one was last year when Whitty said they didn't expect the tier system to work.
His whole attitude, scruffiness and language is entirely inappropriate for the gravity of the situation.
Healdplace
Well-Known Member
- Joined
- 12 May 2013
- Messages
- 15,985
14 England hospital deaths - with 2 from the NW.
Last week 19 with 4 - weeks before 18 with 3 - 33 with 4 - 43 with 8 and 74 with 14.
Also 4 of those 14 today are more than 10 weeks old.
Last week 19 with 4 - weeks before 18 with 3 - 33 with 4 - 43 with 8 and 74 with 14.
Also 4 of those 14 today are more than 10 weeks old.
we're winning the war14 England hospital deaths - with 2 from the NW.
Last week 19 with 4 - weeks before 18 with 3 - 33 with 4 - 43 with 8 and 74 with 14.
Also 4 of those 14 today are more than 10 weeks old.
Healdplace
Well-Known Member
- Joined
- 12 May 2013
- Messages
- 15,985
Scotland data:
Yet more good news here
0 deaths - was 1 last week
191 cases - was 255 last week
1.1% positivity - was 1.5% last week
67 patients - down 3 on day - was 93 last week
9 Ventilated icu - down 3 on day - was 12 last week.
For first time since last Summer there are now under 100 people in hospital and under 10 on ventilators in each of the three nations other than England.
Yet more good news here
0 deaths - was 1 last week
191 cases - was 255 last week
1.1% positivity - was 1.5% last week
67 patients - down 3 on day - was 93 last week
9 Ventilated icu - down 3 on day - was 12 last week.
For first time since last Summer there are now under 100 people in hospital and under 10 on ventilators in each of the three nations other than England.
Healdplace
Well-Known Member
- Joined
- 12 May 2013
- Messages
- 15,985
Northern Ireland data:
1 death - was 1 last week
108 cases - was 88 last week
4.2% positivity - was 3.8% last week
4 care home outbreaks - same as yesterday and last week
653 rolling 7 day total cases - was 625 yesterday and 736 last week.
Testing Posting by age:
0 - 19 (226) 34.7%
20 - 39 (226) 34.7%
40 - 59 (136) 20.9%
60 - 79 (42) 6.4%
80 PLUS (22) 3.3%
These numbers continue to show who is catching Covid and who is not.
Almost 70% now under 40 is up again from the last time I worked this out a week or so back.
Still under10% over 60, Which was just under 30% before the vaccination programme really got going in January.
1 death - was 1 last week
108 cases - was 88 last week
4.2% positivity - was 3.8% last week
4 care home outbreaks - same as yesterday and last week
653 rolling 7 day total cases - was 625 yesterday and 736 last week.
Testing Posting by age:
0 - 19 (226) 34.7%
20 - 39 (226) 34.7%
40 - 59 (136) 20.9%
60 - 79 (42) 6.4%
80 PLUS (22) 3.3%
These numbers continue to show who is catching Covid and who is not.
Almost 70% now under 40 is up again from the last time I worked this out a week or so back.
Still under10% over 60, Which was just under 30% before the vaccination programme really got going in January.
Millwallawayveteran1988
Well-Known Member
- Joined
- 23 Sep 2010
- Messages
- 38,733
It’s all good news in the UK currently. Will lift confidence levels and get people out and about and spending.
- Status
- Not open for further replies.