Coronavirus (2021) thread

[Tim of the Oak]

Speaking to someone who lives in Bolton, he seems to think that the rules about mixing indoors are largely being ignored during Ramadan. Could be true, could be rubbish.

That might be helping to spread it made but there’s probably enough opportunities to spread the virus with peole travelling to work together and big families in households etc, especially if take up of the vaccine is relatively low.

 

[Indaparkside]

The wife’s been able to wear her uniform today for work instead of changing when she arrives and leaves so things are improving every day, here’s to a brighter future

 

[BlueHammer85]

not even seeing cases and deaths reported on main news as much at the moment.
really feels like it's vanished over here at the mo.

 

[twosips]

not even seeing cases and deaths reported on main news as much at the moment.
really feels like it's vanished over here at the mo.

We'll know by the end of this month whether we have to worry about it again IMO. Let's see what happens with this newest variant (though i'm convinced the vaccines have that covered) and after we've opened up further. Let's be honest, this is the big step now. With other households being allowed together indoors and indoor hospitality etc coming back in, if there was ever going to be a big spike, it'll be from this step. If we're looking good by the time early June comes around then I honestly think we're in the clear, presuming something disastrous doesn't happen with new variants.

 

[PragueBlue]

Down to 381 total cases yesterday which isn't bad considering we had around 18,000 in March and were slow to get going with the vaccine. I get mine on Friday and it has opened up from today for people over 45. Anybody over 18 should be able to register for a vaccine from June they reckon.

Having said that there are still quite a few older people that refuse to go to a vaccination centre or hospital for their jabs and are waiting until their GPs get a supply.

All shops open from today but pubs and restaurants still closed.

Overall it still looks a lot more positive now then a month or 2 ago.

 

[Healdplace]

Wales data:

THIS IS FOR SATURDAY AND SUNDAY COMBINED

4 deaths - was 2 last week

104 cases - was 97 last week.

0.5% positivity - was 0.5% last week

 

[Healdplace]

ZOE APP UPDATE

UK Symptomatic cases rise again - though the increase of 617 to 16, 628 is less than yesterday.

But these have risen for 4 straight days now for the first time since January.

And the UK predicted case numbers also up (as they have been every day now for a week) - but again by less than yesterday - up 91 to 1424.


Here are the GM boroughs based on Zoe reported data:-

Number of Active cases / Active cases per million population estimated from the first data (all versus yesterday)



BOLTON Falls again to 27 / 84 V 30 / 106 This is not a near 100 cases a day number so we ought to see this reflected in the data very soon if Zoe is right as the fall in recent days has been consistent and huge. But in real life cases as yet have just gone up. There will be a lag but not more than a few days imo.


STOCKPORT Falls a little to 371 / 1283 V 409 / 1414 . This is a small step in the right direction and Stockport is now scoring below Chorley again so not the worst in the NW but is still in GM. If this pans out we should expect numbers from Stockport this week to rise into the 20s at least and even overtake Manchester. No sign as yet but possibly the Zoe lag works when going up as well as down.


Other GM boroughs are less dramatic but mixed. Though mostly good.


BURY 15 / 82 v 18 / 96 - so a small fall on already low numbers

MANCHESTER 198 / 363 v 169 / 310 has risen a little on the day - only one of two boroughs to do so.

OLDHAM 129 / 552 v 146 / 624 a small fall

ROCHDALE 22 / 99 v 17 / 80 Like Manchester up a little but not to any worrying level.

SALFORD 125 / 496 v 136 / 538 After the big rise a very modest dip today.

TAMESIDE 150 / 672 v 168 / 752 As above small fall after big rise

TRAFFORD 49 / 210 v 55 / 235 Again small fall.

WIGAN 91 / 282 v 95 / 294 / Smallest fall of the day but still down when UK Cases recorded by Zoe went up on the day.

 

[Healdplace]

England hospital deaths - 3 with 0 from NW.

Sunday data so always low.

But also note 2 of these deaths are old - one two weeks ago and one four months ago which will likely be removed.

7 of the last days had 0 deaths within 24 hours of occurring.

That 3 day total of 13 I said a few days ago was probably an anomaly is still 13 after 5 days.

The five day totals from 25 April to 5 May are:-

13 - 9 - 9 - 9 - 8 - 7 - 8 - 8 -8 - 7 - 13

The days after 5 May are at:- May 6 (4 days) - 5, May 7 (3 days) - 2 - May 8 (2 days) - 1 and yesterday 0.

 

[Healdplace]

England hospital deaths more detail:-

Wk to wk:- 18 / 2 NW

15 / 2

11 / 2

1 / 0

4 / 0

3 / 0

3 / 0 TODAY.

Of todays three aged 60 - 79 (2) and 80 PLUS (1)

2 were from East and 1 from London - Midlands. Yorkshire, North West, South East and South West all 0.

The three were one each in North Essex, South Essex and Guy's London.

 

[Healdplace]

Scotland data:

0 deaths - was 0 last week

168 cases - was 132 last week

1.6% positivity - was 1.5% last week

72 patients (up 4 on last data on Friday) - was 67 last Monday

6 ventilated (down 2 on last data on Friday) - was 9 last Monday


So cases up a little wk to wk, patients up over weekend and week to week but ventilators down in both cases to lowest in many months in Scotland.